Sport Picks

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RB do Norte vs Penarol

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Amaral Nogueira J.
36' Event
Amaral Nogueira J.

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2 2025 game between RB do Norte and Penarol finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Penarol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
RB do Norte
15%
Draws
51%
Penarol
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penarol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Penarol come out ahead of RB do Norte on wins alone.
  • Model gives RB do Norte a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 12%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB do Norte Penarol
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.61 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.65 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2025 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Penarol
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB do Norte Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Penarol Compare

Top Goalscorer Amaral Nogueira J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB do Norte 74 / 100
Penarol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB do Norte Penarol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB do Norte's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Penarol's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

RB do Norte VS Penarol
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

RB do Norte

(Home)
07 Aug
RB do Norte
3 : 1
Cliper
01 Aug
RB do Norte
1 : 1
Fast Clube
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
12 Jun
Manicore
2 : 1
RB do Norte
08 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 3
Taruma
Page 1 of 5

Penarol

(Away)
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0
Penarol
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1
Penarol
29 Jun
Penarol
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2
Penarol
15 Jun
Penarol
1 : 0
Unidos do Alvorada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Taruma 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Unidos do Alvorada 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
4 Manicore 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
5 RB do Norte 4 0 0 4 1:8 0
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Operario Esporte Clube 4 3 1 0 10:5 10
2 Itacoatiara 4 2 2 0 6:1 8
3 Sul America 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
4 Fast Clube 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
5 Cliper 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - Amazonense 2 2025 (Play Offs)