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RB do Norte vs Unidos do Alvorada

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Paulo
45' Event
Jackie Chan
55' Event
Sousa M.

AI Match Summary

RB do Norte in this Amazonense 2 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored RB do Norte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
RB do Norte
15%
Draws
0%
Unidos do Alvorada
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RB do Norte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Unidos do Alvorada have won more games recently than RB do Norte.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on RB do Norte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Unidos do Alvorada have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
RB do Norte Clean Sheet 16%
Unidos do Alvorada Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB do Norte Unidos do Alvorada
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.97 1.74
Goals Conceded 2.28 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Unidos do Alvorada
6:1
May 23, 2025 Amazonense 2
Unidos do Alvorada vs RB do Norte
1:0
Aug 7, 2022 Amazonense 2
RB do Norte vs Unidos do Alvorada
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB do Norte Compare

Top Goalscorer Paulo
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jackie Chan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Unidos do Alvorada Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB do Norte 84 / 100
Unidos do Alvorada 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB do Norte Unidos do Alvorada

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RB do Norte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Unidos do Alvorada lost 5 of their last 5 games.

RB do Norte's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Unidos do Alvorada conceded in 79% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

RB do Norte VS Unidos do Alvorada
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

RB do Norte

(Home)
09 Sept
RB do Norte
0 : 1
Fast Clube
05 Sept
RB do Norte
1 : 0
Manicore
30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9
RB do Norte
26 Aug
Manicore
1 : 3
RB do Norte
15 Aug
RB do Norte
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
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Unidos do Alvorada

(Away)
30 Aug
Cliper
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
20 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
2 : 4
Operario Esporte Clube
15 Aug
RB do Norte
6 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
13 Aug
Fast Clube
4 : 1
Unidos do Alvorada
06 Aug
Unidos do Alvorada
1 : 6
Manicore
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RB do Norte 6 5 1 0 23:6 16
2 Fast Clube 6 4 2 0 16:4 14
3 Operario Esporte Clube 6 4 0 2 23:5 12
4 Manicore 6 3 1 2 14:11 10
5 Cliper 6 1 0 5 10:23 3
6 Unidos do Alvorada 6 1 0 5 12:27 3
7 Penarol 6 1 0 5 6:28 3
Promotion - Amazonense 2 (Play Offs)