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RB Leipzig II vs Babelsberg

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
Steinborn M.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 game between RB Leipzig II and Babelsberg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Babelsberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
RB Leipzig II
20%
Draws
40%
Babelsberg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and RB Leipzig II come out ahead of Babelsberg on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 14%
Babelsberg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RB Leipzig II Babelsberg
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.23 2.09
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2017 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Babelsberg
0:1
Sep 16, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs RB Leipzig II
1:1
Apr 10, 2016 Regionalliga Nordost
RB Leipzig II vs Babelsberg
2:2
Oct 2, 2015 Regionalliga Nordost
Babelsberg vs RB Leipzig II
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RB Leipzig II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Babelsberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Steinborn M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RB Leipzig II 35 / 100
Babelsberg 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RB Leipzig II Babelsberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Babelsberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RB Leipzig II found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Babelsberg conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Recent resilience: RB Leipzig II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Babelsberg
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

RB Leipzig II

(Home)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
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Babelsberg

(Away)
27 Sept
Luckenwalde
2 : 3
Babelsberg
19 Sept
Babelsberg
0 : 2
Hertha Berlin II
16 Sept
Chemnitzer
0 : 1
Babelsberg
12 Sept
Babelsberg
1 : 1
Hallescher
29 Aug
Zwickau
1 : 0
Babelsberg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jena 34 23 6 5 68:25 75
2 Energie Cottbus 34 19 9 6 58:26 66
3 RB Leipzig II 34 17 9 8 67:42 60
4 Viktoria Berlin 34 15 11 8 63:47 56
5 Babelsberg 34 16 7 11 55:42 55
6 Berliner AK 07 34 16 7 11 54:42 55
7 Wacker Nordhausen 34 14 9 11 47:47 51
8 Oberlausitz Neugersdorf 34 13 9 12 41:33 48
9 Hertha Berlin II 34 12 12 10 46:48 48
10 Lokomotive Leipzig 34 13 8 13 53:49 47
11 Schonberg 34 13 8 13 53:60 47
12 Auerbach 34 11 12 11 47:50 45
13 Furstenwalde 34 12 9 13 49:59 45
14 Meuselwitz 34 11 11 12 37:36 44
15 BFC Dynamo 34 12 8 14 51:54 44
16 Luckenwalde 34 5 9 20 35:75 24
17 Bautzen 34 3 9 22 29:68 18
18 TSG Neustrelitz 34 2 5 27 30:80 11
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2016/2017 (Play Offs)