Sport Picks

Stadium Background

RC Grasse vs Thonon-Evian

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Bofunda B.

AI Match Summary

RC Grasse in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored RC Grasse.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
RC Grasse
30%
Draws
16%
Thonon-Evian
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: RC Grasse

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • RC Grasse have won more games recently than Thonon-Evian.
  • Win probability leans RC Grasse's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
RC Grasse Clean Sheet 68%
Thonon-Evian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RC Grasse Thonon-Evian
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group A
RC Grasse vs Thonon-Evian
1:0
Dec 16, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Thonon-Evian vs RC Grasse
0:0
Feb 11, 2023 National 1 - Group C
RC Grasse vs Thonon-Evian
1:1
Sep 10, 2022 National 1 - Group C
Thonon-Evian vs RC Grasse
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RC Grasse Compare

Top Goalscorer Bofunda B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Thonon-Evian Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RC Grasse 68 / 100
Thonon-Evian 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RC Grasse Thonon-Evian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RC Grasse Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

RC Grasse's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Thonon-Evian has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

RC Grasse went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

RC Grasse VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RC Grasse

(Home)
16 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
1 : 0
RC Grasse
09 May
RC Grasse
1 : 2
Rumilly Vallieres
02 May
Limonest
1 : 3
RC Grasse
25 Apr
RC Grasse
2 : 2
Istres
17 Apr
Andrezieux
1 : 2
RC Grasse
Page 1 of 7

Thonon-Evian

(Away)
16 Nov
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1 : 0
Thonon-Evian
23 Jul
Villefranche
0 : 0
Thonon-Evian
26 Jul
Thonon-Evian
0 : 2
Paris FC
18 May
Cannes
2 : 1
Thonon-Evian
11 May
Thonon-Evian
1 : 1
Aubagne FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)