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RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ferrera M.
11' Event
Ferrera M.
24' Event
Romero A.

AI Match Summary

RCP Valverdeno in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RCP Valverdeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
RCP Valverdeno
15%
Draws
12%
CD Calamonte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RCP Valverdeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RCP Valverdeno lately — more wins on the board than CD Calamonte.
  • Win probability leans RCP Valverdeno's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 20%
CD Calamonte Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric RCP Valverdeno CD Calamonte
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.07 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
6:2
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs RCP Valverdeno
2:1
May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
3:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Calamonte vs RCP Valverdeno
2:2
May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Calamonte
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

RCP Valverdeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrera M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Romero A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

CD Calamonte Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

RCP Valverdeno 67 / 100
CD Calamonte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
RCP Valverdeno CD Calamonte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RCP Valverdeno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: CD Calamonte conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

RCP Valverdeno found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Difficult form: CD Calamonte registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Calamonte
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

RCP Valverdeno

(Home)
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2
CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1
RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2
Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2
CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6

CD Calamonte

(Away)
09 May
AD Llerenense
3 : 1
CD Calamonte
03 May
CD Calamonte
0 : 3
CD Badajoz
26 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 0
CD Calamonte
19 Apr
CD Calamonte
2 : 3
Montijo
12 Apr
Moralo
1 : 1
CD Calamonte
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 23 7 4 71:13 76
2 CD Coria 34 19 12 3 58:20 69
3 CD Azuaga 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
4 SP Villafranca 34 15 10 9 45:26 55
5 Moralo 34 15 8 11 55:44 53
6 Castuera 34 15 7 12 49:37 52
7 CD Diocesano 34 14 7 13 50:46 49
8 Jaraiz 34 14 4 16 51:52 46
9 Pueblonuevo 34 12 7 15 35:45 43
10 CD Calamonte 34 9 15 10 40:52 42
11 Jerez CF 34 11 9 14 41:52 42
12 Olivenza FC 34 10 11 13 32:41 41
13 Arroyo 34 10 11 13 33:39 41
14 CF Trujillo 34 8 14 12 30:38 38
15 Don Alvaro 34 7 11 16 30:50 32
16 RCP Valverdeno 34 8 8 18 37:58 32
17 Montehermoso 34 7 11 16 33:63 32
18 Fuente de Cantos 34 4 13 17 28:59 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)