Sport Picks
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Diocesano
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 
Match Events
53'
53'
Ciruela R.
60'
60'
Barquero J.
63'
63'
Romero A.
AI Match Summary
CD Diocesano in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Diocesano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
44%
20%
36%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: RCP Valverdeno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to CD Diocesano lately — more wins on the board than RCP Valverdeno.
- 44% — that's where the model lands on RCP Valverdeno taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and CD Diocesano have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
RCP Valverdeno Clean Sheet 68%
CD Diocesano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | RCP Valverdeno | CD Diocesano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 43 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 13 |
| Losses | 17 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Diocesano
2:3
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs RCP Valverdeno
1:1
Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
RCP Valverdeno vs CD Diocesano
0:1
Dec 20, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs RCP Valverdeno
4:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Diocesano vs RCP Valverdeno
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
RCP Valverdeno Compare
Top Goalscorer Barquero J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Romero A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
CD Diocesano Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez F.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ciruela R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
RCP Valverdeno 77 / 100
CD Diocesano 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
RCP Valverdeno CD Diocesano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RCP Valverdeno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: RCP Valverdeno scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: CD Diocesano conceded in 74% of 43 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: RCP Valverdeno stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS CD Diocesano
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
RCP Valverdeno
(Home) 21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2 CD Calamonte
05 May
Don Alvaro
0 : 1 RCP Valverdeno
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 CD Azuaga
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 SP Villafranca
12 May
RCP Valverdeno
6 : 2 CD Calamonte
28 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
1 : 2 Pueblonuevo
21 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
0 : 2 CD Azuaga
07 Apr
RCP Valverdeno
4 : 1 Fuente de Cantos
Page 1 of 3
CD Diocesano
(Away) 10 May
CD Diocesano
4 : 4 SP Villafranca
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
26 Apr
CD Diocesano
0 : 0 Santa Amalia
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
12 Apr
CD Diocesano
2 : 1 Gevora
Page 1 of 9
03 May
Don Benito
8 : 1 CD Diocesano
19 Apr
CD Azuaga
2 : 0 CD Diocesano
05 Apr
CD Calamonte
1 : 1 CD Diocesano
02 Apr
Pueblonuevo
2 : 1 CD Diocesano
22 Mar
Jaraiz
3 : 0 CD Diocesano
Page 1 of 5
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 71:13 | 76 |
| 2 | CD Coria | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 58:20 | 69 |
| 3 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 4 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:26 | 55 |
| 5 | Moralo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:44 | 53 |
| 6 | Castuera | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 49:37 | 52 |
| 7 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 50:46 | 49 |
| 8 | Jaraiz | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 51:52 | 46 |
| 9 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 35:45 | 43 |
| 10 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 40:52 | 42 |
| 11 | Jerez CF | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 41:52 | 42 |
| 12 | Olivenza FC | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:41 | 41 |
| 13 | Arroyo | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 33:39 | 41 |
| 14 | CF Trujillo | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 30:38 | 38 |
| 15 | Don Alvaro | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 30:50 | 32 |
| 16 | RCP Valverdeno | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:58 | 32 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 33:63 | 32 |
| 18 | Fuente de Cantos | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28:59 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
