Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Reading U23 vs Burnley U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
Reading U23 Logo

Reading U23

2 - 1
FT
Burnley U23 Logo

Burnley U23

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Camara M.
44' Event
Costelloe D.
Assist: Mancini A.
54'
Connolly J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Reading U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Reading U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Reading U23
20%
Draws
47%
Burnley U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burnley U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Burnley U23 have won more games recently than Reading U23.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Burnley U23 here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Reading U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reading U23 Burnley U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.67
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2022 Premier League 2
Reading U23 vs Burnley U23
2:1
Sep 27, 2021 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Reading U23
3:1
Apr 16, 2021 Premier League 2
Reading U23 vs Burnley U23
0:2
Dec 14, 2020 Premier League 2
Burnley U23 vs Reading U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reading U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Burnley U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Costelloe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading U23 30 / 100
Burnley U23 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reading U23 Burnley U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Burnley U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burnley U23 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Reading U23's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Reading U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Reading U23 VS Burnley U23
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading U23

(Home)
01 May
Middlesbrough U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
25 Apr
Reading U23
3 : 1
Fulham U23
01 Apr
Reading U23
1 : 1
West Brom U23
20 Mar
Southampton U23
2 : 1
Reading U23
14 Mar
Reading U23
2 : 1
Burnley U23
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U23

(Away)
29 Apr
Fulham U23
5 : 3
Burnley U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
22 Apr
Stoke City U23
0 : 0
Burnley U23
15 Apr
Burnley U23
3 : 2
West Brom U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)