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Reading W vs Southampton FC W Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Women's League Cup 2023/2024 Select Car Leasing Stadium, Reading
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Match Events

32'
Kraft E.
46'
Sub
Wilson G. In: Estcourt C.
Out: Wilson G.
46'
Sub
Mayi Kith E. In: Gregory F.
Out: Mayi Kith E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Southampton FC W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Reading W
35%
Draws
39%
Southampton FC W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southampton FC W come out ahead of Reading W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Southampton FC W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Southampton FC W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Southampton FC W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Southampton FC W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Reading W Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Reading W Southampton FC W
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.94 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2024 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Reading W
5:0
Nov 8, 2023 Women's League Cup
Reading W vs Southampton FC W
0:1
Sep 17, 2023 WSL 2
Reading W vs Southampton FC W
1:4
Nov 27, 2022 Women's League Cup
Southampton FC W vs Reading W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Reading W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lloyd-Smith L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Reading W 10 / 100
Southampton FC W 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Reading W Southampton FC W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton FC W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Reading W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Southampton FC W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Reading W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Southampton FC W
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Reading W

(Home)
03 Nov
Aylesford W
3 : 1
Reading W
28 Apr
Watford W
3 : 2
Reading W
21 Apr
Reading W
1 : 0
Durham W
14 Apr
Blackburn W
0 : 0
Reading W
31 Mar
Reading W
1 : 4
Blackburn W
Page 1 of 7

Southampton FC W

(Away)
30 Sept
West Ham W
3 : 1
Southampton FC W
27 Sept
Southampton FC W
1 : 1
Nottingham W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Southampton FC W
0 : 0
Ipswich W
06 Sept
Durham W
1 : 3
Southampton FC W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunderland W 4 3 0 1 8:4 10
2 Aston Villa W 4 3 0 1 17:1 9
3 Durham W 4 3 0 1 7:10 7
4 Blackburn W 4 1 0 3 5:13 3
5 Sheffield Utd W 4 0 0 4 3:12 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 4 3 0 1 10:7 10
2 Manchester United W 4 3 0 1 12:3 9
3 Leicester W 4 3 0 1 10:7 8
4 Liverpool W 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
5 Everton W 4 0 0 4 3:16 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Crystal Palace W 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
3 Lewes W 2 1 0 1 1:2 2
4 Watford W 2 1 0 1 2:5 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arsenal W 4 4 0 0 14:5 11
2 Tottenham W 4 3 0 1 15:3 10
3 Southampton FC W 4 2 0 2 3:6 5
4 Bristol City W 4 0 0 4 3:8 2
5 Reading W 4 1 0 3 1:14 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton W 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Charlton W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
3 West Ham W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Birmingham W 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2023/2024 (Play Offs)