Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event

AI Match Summary

Galapagar in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Galapagar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Real Aranjuez
30%
Draws
64%
Galapagar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Galapagar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Real Aranjuez haven't matched Galapagar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Galapagar's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Galapagar have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
Galapagar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aranjuez Galapagar
Matches Played 29 38
Wins 2 16
Draws 4 11
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.66 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.90
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar
2:5
Mar 26, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs Galapagar
0:2
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar vs Real Aranjuez
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aranjuez 10 / 100
Galapagar 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aranjuez Galapagar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Galapagar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

Galapagar let in goals in 74% of their last 38 matches.

Real Aranjuez's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Real Aranjuez has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Aranjuez VS Galapagar
0.83 Goals Scored 1.13
2.67 Goals Conceded 1.75
83% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aranjuez

(Home)
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2
Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1
Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6
Alaves C
Page 1 of 6

Galapagar

(Away)
27 Sept
Rayo Vallecano B
1 : 2
Galapagar
20 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
CD Las Rozas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5
Galapagar
06 Sept
Galapagar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
10 May
Galapagar
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ursaria 30 20 8 2 62:22 68
2 RSC Internacional 30 21 4 5 73:27 67
3 Getafe B 30 15 9 6 49:24 54
4 Paracuellos Antamira 30 14 6 10 48:40 48
5 CD Mostoles 30 14 5 11 38:32 47
6 RSD Alcala 30 12 10 8 31:28 46
7 CD Las Rozas 30 13 6 11 37:38 45
8 Trival Valderas 30 11 4 15 38:44 37
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 30 9 10 11 37:47 37
10 AD Torrejon 30 9 8 13 31:42 35
11 Galapagar 30 10 5 15 38:44 35
12 Collado Villalba 30 9 7 14 30:45 34
13 Canillas 30 9 7 14 34:46 34
14 Rayo Vallecano B 30 9 6 15 42:45 33
15 CDE Madrid 30 9 5 16 31:52 32
16 Real Aranjuez 30 4 4 22 21:64 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)