Sport Picks
Real Aranjuez vs RSD Alcala - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 game between Real Aranjuez and RSD Alcala finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RSD Alcala.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RSD Alcala
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- RSD Alcala carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and RSD Alcala have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Real Aranjuez Clean Sheet 10%
RSD Alcala Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Aranjuez | RSD Alcala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 3 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 22 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.79 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.41 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.96 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs RSD Alcala
2:3
Nov 5, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Real Aranjuez
3:1
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
RSD Alcala vs Real Aranjuez
3:1
May 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs RSD Alcala
1:2
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Aranjuez vs RSD Alcala
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Aranjuez 30 / 100
RSD Alcala 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Aranjuez RSD Alcala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RSD Alcala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
RSD Alcala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.
RSD Alcala's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Real Aranjuez scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Aranjuez VS RSD Alcala
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
2.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
86% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Aranjuez
(Home) 04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes B
3 : 5 Real Aranjuez
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
20 Sept
RC Alcobendas
1 : 1 Real Aranjuez
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0 Real Aranjuez
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 2 Trival Valderas
12 Sept
Real Aranjuez
2 : 5 Galapagar
02 Sept
Real Aranjuez
1 : 6 Alaves C
16 Apr
Real Aranjuez
0 : 3 RSC Internacional
06 Apr
Real Aranjuez
1 : 5 Trival Valderas
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RSD Alcala
(Away) 04 Oct
RSD Alcala
1 : 3 Navalcarnero
27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
20 Sept
RSD Alcala
5 : 2 Gimnastica Segoviana
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
RSD Alcala
3 : 0 CF Talavera
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27 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS
3 : 0 RSD Alcala
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
26 Apr
Quintanar del Rey
0 : 0 RSD Alcala
12 Apr
CF Fuenlabrada
0 : 2 RSD Alcala
29 Mar
Rayo Majadahonda
1 : 2 RSD Alcala
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ursaria | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 62:22 | 68 |
| 2 | RSC Internacional | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 73:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Getafe B | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 49:24 | 54 |
| 4 | Paracuellos Antamira | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 48:40 | 48 |
| 5 | CD Mostoles | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 38:32 | 47 |
| 6 | RSD Alcala | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 31:28 | 46 |
| 7 | CD Las Rozas | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 37:38 | 45 |
| 8 | Trival Valderas | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 38:44 | 37 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 37:47 | 37 |
| 10 | AD Torrejon | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 31:42 | 35 |
| 11 | Galapagar | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 38:44 | 35 |
| 12 | Collado Villalba | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 30:45 | 34 |
| 13 | Canillas | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 34:46 | 34 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano B | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42:45 | 33 |
| 15 | CDE Madrid | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 31:52 | 32 |
| 16 | Real Aranjuez | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | 16 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
