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Real Ariquemes U20 vs Nautico U20

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil U20 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Sousa E.
58' Event
Kauan
67' Event
Alemao

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Nautico U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Real Ariquemes U20
15%
Draws
61%
Nautico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nautico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Nautico U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Nautico U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nautico U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Nautico U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Real Ariquemes U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Nautico U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes U20 Nautico U20
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 6 21
Draws 1 3
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.35 1.9
Goals Conceded 2 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2023 Copinha
Nautico U20 vs Real Ariquemes U20
0:2
Mar 16, 2021 Copa do Brasil U20
Real Ariquemes U20 vs Nautico U20
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Ariquemes U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Nautico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sousa E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kauan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes U20 10 / 100
Nautico U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes U20 Nautico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nautico U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Ariquemes U20 scored in 65% of their last 17 games.

Nautico U20 has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Real Ariquemes U20 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nautico U20
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes U20

(Home)
12 Jan
Mirassol U20
1 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
09 Jan
Real Ariquemes U20
2 : 0
Portuguesa U20
06 Jan
Tanabi U20
2 : 0
Real Ariquemes U20
03 Jan
Nautico U20
0 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
10 Oct
Remo U20
3 : 2
Real Ariquemes U20
Page 1 of 4

Nautico U20

(Away)
30 Sept
Nautico U20
1 : 0
Petrolina U20
26 Sept
Nautico U20
2 : 1
Jaguar U20
23 Sept
Nautico U20
7 : 0
Guarany PE U20
19 Sept
Serrano PE U20
1 : 2
Nautico U20
16 Sept
Nautico U20
3 : 1
Academica Vitoria U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Coritiba U20 8
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 0
Perilima U20 1
Bahia U20 4
Atletico-MG U20 1
Fluminense Piaui U20 0
Galvez U20 5
Londrina U20 1
Sao Raimundo RR U20 2
Atletico GO U20 1
Vasco U20 6
Planaltina U20 0
Tupi U20 4
Serra U20 1
Jacioba U20 0
Internacional U20 8
ABC U20 5
Bragantino PA U20 1
Trem U20 1
Avai U20 3
Palmeiras U20 8
Medici U20 0
Real Ariquemes U20 0
Nautico U20 3
Uniao ABC U20 1
Corinthians U20 0
Confianca U20 0
Floresta EC U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 10
EC Castelo U20 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) U20 1
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 5
1/8-finals
Coritiba U20 3
Bahia U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 7
Galvez U20 2
Sao Raimundo RR U20 3
Vasco U20 7
Tupi U20 1
Internacional U20 9
ABC U20 3
Avai U20 4
Palmeiras U20 6
Nautico U20 1
Uniao ABC U20 1
Floresta EC U20 7
Botafogo RJ U20 3
EC Sao Jose (PA) U20 1
Quarter-finals
Coritiba U20 4
Atletico-MG U20 2
Vasco U20 2
Internacional U20 4
Avai U20 2
Palmeiras U20 1
Floresta EC U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 5
Semi-finals
Coritiba U20 4
Internacional U20 3
Avai U20 1
Botafogo RJ U20 2
Final
Coritiba U20 3
Botafogo RJ U20 2