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Real Ariquemes vs Guajara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
Real Ariquemes Logo

Real Ariquemes

1 - 0
FT
Guajara Logo

Guajara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Ariquemes in this Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Ariquemes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Real Ariquemes
15%
Draws
0%
Guajara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Ariquemes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Ariquemes haven't matched Guajara's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Real Ariquemes taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 10%
Guajara Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Guajara
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.58 0.83
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2020 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
0:1
Feb 2, 2020 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Guajara
1:3
Mar 14, 2019 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Guajara
3:2
Feb 10, 2019 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
1:1
Apr 15, 2018 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Real Ariquemes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 83 / 100
Guajara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Guajara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Guajara registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Guajara conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Real Ariquemes's goal record stands at 38% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Ariquemes VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
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Guajara

(Away)
15 Mar
Guajara
0 : 3
Genus
14 Mar
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Guajara
08 Mar
Guajara
0 : 1
Real Ariquemes
23 Feb
CA Rondoniense
3 : 0
Guajara
15 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Guajara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Genus 7 6 0 1 16:6 18
2 CA Rondoniense 7 5 2 0 17:4 17
3 Real Ariquemes 7 4 2 1 10:4 14
4 Ariquemes FC 7 3 0 4 8:9 9
5 Guajara 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
6 Ji-Parana 7 1 2 4 8:14 5
7 Rolim de Moura 7 1 2 4 7:15 5
8 Morumbi FC 7 0 3 4 7:16 3
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (First stage - Play Offs)