Sport Picks
Real Ariquemes vs Penarol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa Verde 2021 
Match Events
35'
35'
Wallace
40'
40'
Diego Vitor
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-2, with Penarol advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Penarol
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
21%
/ Low Confidence
- Penarol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Real Ariquemes are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Penarol arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Penarol, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 20%
Penarol Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Ariquemes | Penarol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 10 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.42 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.58 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 13, 2021 Copa Verde
Real Ariquemes vs Penarol
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Ariquemes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8
Penarol Compare
Top Goalscorer Wallace
1 Goals Assists Leader Diego Vitor
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Ariquemes 85 / 100
Penarol 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Ariquemes Penarol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Penarol conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Penarol's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Real Ariquemes scored in 26% of their last 19 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Ariquemes VS Penarol
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Ariquemes
(Home) 23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8 Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0 Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7 Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1 Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0 Interporto
Page 1 of 4
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8 Anapolis
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7 Ceilandia
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0 Interporto
18 Jun
Real Ariquemes
2 : 1 Ipora
11 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 1 Uniao Rondonopolis
Page 1 of 2
Penarol
(Away) 30 Aug
Penarol
2 : 9 RB do Norte
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 5 Fast Clube
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2 Penarol
12 Aug
Penarol
0 : 3 Manicore
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0 Penarol
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Cliper
1 : 2 Penarol
09 Aug
Operario Esporte Clube
4 : 0 Penarol
31 Jul
Unidos do Alvorada
6 : 1 Penarol
22 Jun
RB do Norte
0 : 2 Penarol
30 May
Manicore
1 : 1 Penarol
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Paysandu PA -
TBD -
Real Ariquemes 0
Penarol 2
Sao Raimundo RR -
TBD -
Fast Clube 0
Castanhal 2
Manaus FC -
TBD -
Sinop FC 0
Porto Velho 1
Remo -
TBD -
Galvez 2
Ypiranga AP 1
Acreano -
TBD -
Gama 0
Aquidauanense 1
Vila Nova FC -
TBD -
Interporto 0
Rio Branco-VN 1
Cuiaba -
TBD -
Brasiliense 1
Rio Branco ES 0
Rio Branco AC -
TBD -
Aguia Negra 1
Nova Mutum EC 3
1/8-finals
Paysandu PA 6
Penarol 0
Sao Raimundo RR 1
Castanhal 2
Manaus FC 2
Porto Velho 0
Remo 9
Galvez 0
Acreano 1
Aquidauanense 2
Vila Nova FC 3
Rio Branco-VN 0
Cuiaba 0
Brasiliense 1
Rio Branco AC 1
Nova Mutum EC 4
Quarter-finals
Paysandu PA 4
Castanhal 2
Manaus FC 1
Remo 4
Aquidauanense 0
Vila Nova FC 8
Brasiliense 1
Nova Mutum EC 2
Semi-finals
Paysandu PA 2
Remo 4
Vila Nova FC 4
Nova Mutum EC 1
Final
Remo 1
Vila Nova FC 0
