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Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense 2024
Real Ariquemes Logo

Real Ariquemes

Wed, Mar 13, 2024
VS
07:30 PM
Vilhena Logo

Vilhena

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Ariquemes host Vilhena in the Rondoniense 2024. This one's hard to separate. Vilhena have shipped 2.61 goals a game lately, while Real Ariquemes have conceded 2.61 and scored 0.44. Head-to-head, Real Ariquemes have won 2 to Vilhena's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.85 xG vs 1.05) point toward Real Ariquemes. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Ariquemes
20%
Draws
40%
Vilhena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vilhena lately — more wins on the board than Real Ariquemes.
  • Win probability leans Real Ariquemes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Rondoniense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 20%
Vilhena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Vilhena
Matches Played 18 28
Wins 2 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 0.44 0.79
Goals Conceded 2.61 2.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2024 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
0:0
Mar 13, 2024 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
0:0
Apr 6, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhena vs Real Ariquemes
2:1
Feb 14, 2018 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
4:1
Apr 30, 2017 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhena
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 85 / 100
Vilhena 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Vilhena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilhena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Vilhena lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Ariquemes's goal record stands at 28% scoring rate across 18 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Ariquemes VS Vilhena
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
Page 1 of 4

Vilhena

(Away)
29 Aug
Vilhena
1 : 4
Rolim de Moura
22 Aug
Rolim de Moura
5 : 1
Vilhena
30 Mar
Vilhena
3 : 3
Guapore
23 Mar
Vilhena
0 : 3
Barcelona RO
16 Mar
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Vilhena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Porto Velho 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
2 Barcelona RO 10 4 4 2 14:9 16
3 Uniao Cacoalense 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
4 Vilhena 10 3 4 3 12:14 13
5 Ji-Parana 10 3 2 5 6:12 11
6 Genus 10 1 3 6 9:18 6
7 Real Ariquemes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Rondoniense 2024 (Play Offs)