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Real Ariquemes vs Vilhenense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2018 game between Real Ariquemes and Vilhenense finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Ariquemes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Real Ariquemes
30%
Draws
62%
Vilhenense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Vilhenense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

8% / Low Confidence
  • Vilhenense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real Ariquemes are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Real Ariquemes Clean Sheet 10%
Vilhenense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Ariquemes Vilhenense
Matches Played 19 28
Wins 2 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.42 0.93
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2023 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhenense
0:0
Apr 19, 2018 Rondoniense
Real Ariquemes vs Vilhenense
2:0
Mar 1, 2018 Rondoniense
Vilhenense vs Real Ariquemes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Ariquemes 38 / 100
Vilhenense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Ariquemes Vilhenense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Ariquemes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vilhenense has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Real Ariquemes found the back of the net in 26% of recent matches (19 games).

These sides typically produce 1.33 goals when they meet.

Real Ariquemes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Ariquemes VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
4.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Ariquemes

(Home)
23 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 8
Anapolis
15 Jul
Operario VG
9 : 0
Real Ariquemes
09 Jul
Real Ariquemes
0 : 7
Ceilandia
02 Jul
Brasiliense
5 : 1
Real Ariquemes
25 Jun
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Interporto
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Vilhenense

(Away)
08 Apr
Vilhenense
1 : 0
CA Rondoniense
02 Apr
Ji-Parana
1 : 0
Vilhenense
25 Mar
Real Ariquemes
0 : 0
Vilhenense
18 Mar
Vilhenense
0 : 0
Genus
11 Mar
Vilhenense
1 : 0
Guapore
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Rondoniense 14 8 4 2 24:12 28
2 Vilhenense 14 7 3 4 24:13 24
3 Real Ariquemes 14 7 2 5 23:16 23
4 Barcelona RO 14 6 4 4 25:23 22
5 Guajara 14 6 4 4 14:14 22
6 Genus 14 4 2 8 17:25 14
7 Ji-Parana 14 4 1 9 20:23 13
8 Vilhena 14 4 0 10 11:32 12
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2018 (Play Offs)