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Real Avila vs CD Aguilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 game between Real Avila and CD Aguilar finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Real Avila
15%
Draws
46%
CD Aguilar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CD Aguilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Real Avila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 8 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 20%
CD Aguilar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila CD Aguilar
Matches Played 40 31
Wins 21 7
Draws 4 10
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs CD Aguilar
1:1
Sep 18, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Real Avila
0:2
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs CD Aguilar
1:1
Nov 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
CD Aguilar vs Real Avila
1:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Avila vs CD Aguilar
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 31 / 100
CD Aguilar 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila CD Aguilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Avila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila scored in 85% of their last 40 games.

CD Aguilar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Real Avila stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 8

CD Aguilar

(Away)
13 May
Palencia CA
3 : 3
CD Aguilar
06 May
CD Aguilar
4 : 2
CD Bejar Industrial
01 May
La Granja
1 : 0
CD Aguilar
28 Apr
CD Aguilar
1 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
23 Apr
Atletico Astorga
4 : 0
CD Aguilar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 25 9 4 75:23 84
2 Villaralbo 38 25 8 5 83:36 83
3 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 9 5 68:26 81
4 Arandina 38 23 9 6 61:26 78
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 20 9 9 67:25 69
6 Almazan 38 14 13 11 55:51 55
7 Real Avila 38 14 13 11 48:44 55
8 CD Iscar 38 15 8 15 48:62 53
9 Numancia B 38 14 11 13 58:49 53
10 Bembibre 38 15 7 16 56:46 52
11 Club Deportivo Huracan Z 38 13 12 13 30:37 51
12 Atletico Astorga 38 12 14 12 39:44 50
13 CD Aguilar 38 13 9 16 41:60 48
14 Ponferradina B 38 11 9 18 45:49 42
15 Palencia CA 38 9 11 18 27:43 38
16 Atletico Tordesillas 38 9 8 21 33:65 35
17 Racing Lermeno 38 7 11 20 29:61 32
18 CD Cebrerena 38 8 6 24 42:92 30
19 Santa Marta Tormes 38 6 11 21 36:68 29
20 CF Venta de Banos 38 6 7 25 30:64 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)