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Real Avila vs Numancia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Avila host Numancia in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Real Avila at 1.41 goals for, 1.62 against; Numancia at 1.03 for, 0.72 against. Head-to-head, Real Avila have won 0 to Numancia's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.13, favoring Numancia. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Real Avila
20%
Draws
52%
Numancia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Avila come out ahead of Numancia on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Numancia taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Real Avila Clean Sheet 21%
Numancia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Avila Numancia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 3 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Real Avila
2:1
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Numancia
0:0
Apr 13, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Numancia vs Real Avila
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Real Avila vs Numancia
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Real Avila vs Numancia
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Avila 16 / 100
Numancia 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Avila Numancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Avila scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Numancia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Real Avila has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Avila VS Numancia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Avila

(Home)
04 Oct
San Sebastian Reyes
3 : 0
Real Avila
27 Sept
Real Avila
1 : 0
Getafe B
20 Sept
Real Avila
2 : 1
Puertollano C.F.
13 Sept
Navalcarnero
2 : 1
Real Avila
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
Page 1 of 6

Numancia

(Away)
04 Oct
Getafe B
0 : 0
Numancia
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0
Guadalajara
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 5 4 0 1 8:5 12
2 Numancia 5 3 2 0 5:0 11
3 San Sebastian Reyes 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
4 Conquense 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
5 Valladolid Promesas 5 3 0 2 11:4 9
6 Salamanca CF UDS 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
7 CF Talavera 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 5 2 1 2 11:10 7
9 Navalcarnero 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 RSD Alcala 5 2 0 3 10:10 6
11 Real Avila 5 2 0 3 5:8 6
12 Guadalajara 5 1 2 2 8:9 5
13 Atletico Paso 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
14 Albacete B 5 1 2 2 7:15 5
15 Atletico Tordesillas 5 1 1 3 8:10 4
16 Puertollano C.F. 5 1 1 3 2:8 4
17 Getafe B 5 0 3 2 3:5 3
18 Real Madrid C 5 0 3 2 1:4 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)