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Real Aviles B vs Praviano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 game between Real Aviles B and Praviano finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Praviano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Real Aviles B
20%
Draws
40%
Praviano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Praviano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Praviano's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Praviano here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Aviles B Clean Sheet 20%
Praviano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Aviles B Praviano
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles B vs Praviano
1:1
Nov 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Real Aviles B
2:1
Feb 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Aviles B vs Praviano
1:3
Sep 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Praviano vs Real Aviles B
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Aviles B 28 / 100
Praviano 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Aviles B Praviano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Praviano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Aviles B's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Praviano conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Praviano's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Praviano
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Aviles B

(Home)
17 May
Real Aviles B
1 : 3
Basico Urraca
10 May
Condal
2 : 1
Real Aviles B
03 May
Real Aviles B
2 : 1
Union Club Ceares
26 Apr
Caudal Deportivo
3 : 0
Real Aviles B
19 Apr
Real Aviles B
1 : 1
L Entregu CF
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Praviano

(Away)
04 Oct
Praviano
1 : 1
Caudal Deportivo
27 Sept
Langreo
3 : 2
Praviano
20 Sept
Praviano
0 : 1
Aviles Stadium
12 Sept
Lealtad
1 : 2
Praviano
06 Sept
Praviano
1 : 2
Gijon B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lealtad 38 23 7 8 62:27 76
2 Langreo 38 23 7 8 62:28 76
3 Union Club Ceares 38 21 11 6 54:31 74
4 Praviano 38 21 9 8 57:36 72
5 Covadonga 38 20 11 7 70:35 71
6 Tuilla 38 19 7 12 67:38 64
7 Universidad Oviedo 38 19 7 12 52:30 64
8 Cudillero 38 19 6 13 59:51 63
9 L Entregu CF 38 17 8 13 48:39 59
10 Condal 38 14 13 11 47:34 55
11 Real Aviles B 38 13 10 15 51:55 49
12 Real Oviedo B 38 14 6 18 46:53 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 10 16 12 55:54 46
14 Atletico de Lugones 38 12 10 16 49:55 46
15 Lenense 38 10 8 20 29:54 38
16 Gijon Industrial 38 9 9 20 21:50 36
17 Andes CF 38 10 4 24 32:77 34
18 Candas CF 38 8 10 20 35:53 34
19 Luarca 38 6 10 22 23:66 28
20 Real Tapia 38 5 5 28 23:76 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)