Sport Picks
Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Roman Suarez Puerta, Avilés 
Match Events
5'
5'
Santamaria A.
29'
29'
Lopez O.
38'
38'
Galarza A.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Aviles and Barakaldo finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barakaldo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Barakaldo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Real Aviles a 33% chance of winning this.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Real Aviles Clean Sheet 68%
Barakaldo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Aviles | Barakaldo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 13 |
| Draws | 14 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
3:3
May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
1:4
Dec 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
1:2
Aug 17, 2024 Club Friendly
Barakaldo vs Real Aviles
1:4
Sep 10, 2014 Copa del Rey
Real Aviles vs Barakaldo
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Aviles Compare
Top Goalscorer Santamaria A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Barakaldo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Galarza A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Aviles 59 / 100
Barakaldo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Aviles Barakaldo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Aviles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Aviles found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
Barakaldo has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Real Aviles has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Aviles VS Barakaldo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Aviles
(Home) 02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2 Lugo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
CD Coria
1 : 1 Real Aviles
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
06 Sept
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1 Real Aviles
Page 1 of 6
02 Oct
Real Aviles
1 : 2 Lugo
12 Sept
Real Aviles
3 : 1 Unionistas de Salamanca
28 Aug
Real Aviles
0 : 1 Pontevedra
21 Aug
Real Aviles
4 : 2 Gijon B
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
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Barakaldo
(Away) 03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1 Arenas Getxo
27 Sept
Barakaldo
3 : 3 Real Aviles
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
11 Sept
Barakaldo
1 : 0 CD Extremadura
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Racing Club Ferrol
1 : 0 Barakaldo
05 Sept
CD Coria
4 : 1 Barakaldo
14 Aug
Portugalete
2 : 0 Barakaldo
17 May
Real Aviles
1 : 4 Barakaldo
01 May
Tenerife
2 : 0 Barakaldo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 62:24 | 76 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 61:48 | 65 |
| 3 | Zamora | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 53:42 | 61 |
| 4 | Ponferradina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 43:33 | 60 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 61:52 | 58 |
| 6 | Pontevedra | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 49:31 | 58 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 51:38 | 58 |
| 8 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53:49 | 56 |
| 9 | Lugo | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36:40 | 53 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 47:53 | 52 |
| 11 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 46:55 | 52 |
| 12 | Racing Club Ferrol | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 41:47 | 49 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 49 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 55:67 | 44 |
| 15 | Cacereno | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 42:49 | 44 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 38:47 | 43 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 44:47 | 43 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 44:58 | 41 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 28:42 | 40 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 38 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 29:53 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
