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Real Bamako vs Onze Createurs

Mali Mali

Premiere Division Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between Real Bamako and Onze Createurs finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Real Bamako
35%
Draws
27%
Onze Createurs
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Real Bamako carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Bamako's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%
Onze Createurs Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Onze Createurs
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Onze Createurs
2:0
Nov 29, 2025 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Real Bamako
0:1
Mar 25, 2025 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Real Bamako
0:0
Dec 7, 2024 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs Onze Createurs
0:2
May 27, 2024 Premiere Division
Onze Createurs vs Real Bamako
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 86 / 100
Onze Createurs 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Onze Createurs

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Real Bamako stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Real Bamako found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Onze Createurs has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Onze Createurs
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
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Onze Createurs

(Away)
13 Jun
Binga
0 : 0
Onze Createurs
10 Jun
Onze Createurs
0 : 0
Bakaridjan
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Onze Createurs
1 : 0
Mali Coura
24 May
US Bougouni
0 : 1
Onze Createurs
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)