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Real Bamako vs Zarzis

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup Stade Modibo Kéïta, Bamako
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CAF Confederation Cup. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Real Bamako at 1.17 goals for, 0.53 against; Zarzis at 0.9 for, 0.87 against. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 0.88) point toward Real Bamako. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Real Bamako
20%
Draws
17%
Zarzis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Real Bamako have won more games recently than Zarzis.
  • Real Bamako are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Real Bamako have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 20%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bamako Zarzis
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.17 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.53 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bamako 76 / 100
Zarzis 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bamako Zarzis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bamako went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Real Bamako's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zarzis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Zarzis's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Bamako VS Zarzis
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
25% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bamako

(Home)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
Page 1 of 6

Zarzis

(Away)
20 Sept
Club Africain
1 : 0
Zarzis
16 Sept
Zarzis
1 : 2
Monastir
12 Sept
Diambars de Saly
1 : 0
Zarzis
04 Sept
Zarzis
3 : 1
Diambars de Saly
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC -
Azam -
Welwalo Adigrat -
Al Ahly Tripoli -
Tusker -
Singida Black Stars -
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo -
FAR Rabat -
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD -
CS Sfaxien -
Zarzis -
Real Bamako -
Diarra -
ASKO Kara -
Kabuscorp -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City -
Port Louis -
Rayon Sport -
Associacao Black Bulls -
Virunga -
Primeiro de Agosto -