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Real Bedford vs Ashford United

England England

FA Trophy 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Aibangbee J.
17' Event
Tee C.
21' Event
Malachi S.

AI Match Summary

Real Bedford in this FA Trophy 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Real Bedford
20%
Draws
38%
Ashford United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Bedford has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ashford United.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Real Bedford.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Trophy 2025/2026 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Real Bedford Clean Sheet 20%
Ashford United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bedford Ashford United
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 2 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 FA Trophy
Real Bedford vs Ashford United
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Tee C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Malachi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Ashford United Compare

Top Goalscorer Aibangbee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bedford 42 / 100
Ashford United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bedford Ashford United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bedford scored in 88% of their last 33 games.

Ashford United let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Real Bedford went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ashford United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bedford VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Sudbury2
Leiston1
TBD-
Hereford-
Radcliffe-
TBD-
Bradford PA2
Morpeth1
Solihull Moors-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Spennymoor-
TBD-
AFC Fylde-
TBD-
Eastleigh-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Aldershot-
Buxton-
TBD-
TBD-
Southport-
Leek Town3
Bromsgrove0
TBD-
Scarborough Athletic-
Dover Ath.-
TBD-
Basingstoke1
Dorchester2
Brentwood3
Welling0
TBD-
Hornchurch-
Chesham-
TBD-
TBD-
Telford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Altrincham-
Yeovil-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Torquay-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidstone-
Alvechurch1
Worcester0
Real Bedford3
Ashford United2
Redditch1
Gainsborough2
Alfreton-
TBD-
Scunthorpe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Oxford City-
TBD-
TBD-
Peterborough Sports-
Chester-
TBD-
Clitheroe4
Stockton2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
York City-
Leatherhead2
Canvey Island1
TBD-
Hampton & Richmond-
King’s Lynn-
TBD-
Stanway Rovers1
Harrow Borough2
Hemel Hempstead-
TBD-
TBD-
Chelmsford-
Horsham FC-
TBD-
Farnham3
Bishops Cleeve2
Wimborne1
Portchester0
Waltham Abbey0
Chatham2
Plymouth Parkway2
Poole Town1
TBD-
Salisbury-
Harborough4
AFC Rushden & Diamonds1
TBD-
Enfield Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Carlisle-
Dorking Wanderers-
TBD-
TBD-
Eastbourne Borough-
Bath City-
TBD-
Bracknell Town1
Banbury0
Southend-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Truro-
Halifax-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
United of Manchester1
Bamber Bridge0
TBD-
Darlington FC-
Hartlepool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bedford-
TBD-
Anstey Nomads4
Stratford0
Chorley-
TBD-
TBD-
Worksop-
Kidderminster-
TBD-
Spalding United0
Corby1
Gateshead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Morecambe-
Ebbsfleet-
TBD-
Sittingbourne2
Cray Valley1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Braintree-
Forest Green-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chippenham Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Weston-super-Mare-
Wealdstone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Billericay0
Stortford5
Wingate & Finchley0
Cheshunt1
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
Tilbury1
Hadley0
Merthyr Town-
TBD-
St. Albans0
Hanwell Town2
Tamworth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston United-
Leamington-
TBD-
TBD-
Maidenhead-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Rochdale-
Ilkeston3
St Ives Town1
TBD-
Curzon Ashton-
Marine-
TBD-
Hyde0
Stocksbridge3
Slough Town-
TBD-
Gloucester City1
Havant & Waterlooville0
Tonbridge-
TBD-
TBD-
Worthing FC-
Walton & Hersham5
Hendon1
TBD-
Farnborough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sutton-
Boreham Wood-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brackley-
Woking-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Burgess Hill1
Folkestone4
TBD-
AFC Totton-
South Shields-
TBD-
Dunston1
Hebburn Town0
Macclesfield-
TBD-
Prescot Cables2
Guiseley1
1/64-finals
Sudbury1
Hereford5
Radcliffe3
Bradford PA2
Solihull Moors-
TBD-
Spennymoor2
AFC Fylde3
Eastleigh-
TBD-
TBD-
Aldershot-
Buxton2
Southport3
Leek Town1
Scarborough Athletic0
Dover Ath.2
Dorchester0
Brentwood0
Hornchurch1
Chesham1
Telford2
TBD-
Altrincham-
Yeovil-
TBD-
Torquay0
Maidstone2
Alvechurch2
Real Bedford1
Gainsborough1
Alfreton2
Scunthorpe-
TBD-
Oxford City1
Peterborough Sports2
Chester0
Clitheroe1
TBD-
York City-
Leatherhead2
Hampton & Richmond0
King’s Lynn2
Harrow Borough3
Hemel Hempstead1
Chelmsford0
Horsham FC2
Farnham0
Wimborne0
Chatham1
Plymouth Parkway4
Salisbury3
Harborough3
Enfield Town0
TBD-
Carlisle-
Dorking Wanderers3
Eastbourne Borough2
Bath City2
Bracknell Town1
Southend-
TBD-
TBD-
Truro-
Halifax-
TBD-
United of Manchester3
Darlington FC2
Hartlepool-
TBD-
Bedford0
Anstey Nomads1
Chorley2
Worksop3
Kidderminster3
Corby0
Gateshead-
TBD-
TBD-
Morecambe-
Ebbsfleet2
Sittingbourne1
TBD-
Braintree-
Forest Green-
TBD-
Chippenham Town0
Weston-super-Mare1
Wealdstone-
TBD-
Stortford1
Cheshunt2
Dagenham & Red.2
Tilbury0
Merthyr Town2
Hanwell Town3
Tamworth-
TBD-
TBD-
Boston United-
Leamington2
Maidenhead0
TBD-
Rochdale-
Ilkeston0
Curzon Ashton1
Marine2
Stocksbridge0
Slough Town1
Gloucester City2
Tonbridge0
Worthing FC4
Walton & Hersham2
Farnborough1
TBD-
Sutton-
Boreham Wood-
TBD-
TBD-
Brackley-
Woking-
TBD-
Folkestone1
AFC Totton2
South Shields6
Dunston2
Macclesfield1
Prescot Cables0
1/32-finals
Hereford2
Radcliffe1
Solihull Moors2
AFC Fylde3
Eastleigh2
Aldershot1
Southport3
Leek Town1
Dover Ath.1
Hornchurch4
Telford4
Altrincham3
Yeovil2
Maidstone1
Alvechurch3
Alfreton2
Scunthorpe5
Peterborough Sports0
Clitheroe2
York City1
Leatherhead3
Harrow Borough2
Hemel Hempstead0
Horsham FC2
Chatham3
Plymouth Parkway0
Harborough1
Carlisle2
Dorking Wanderers1
Bath City2
Southend4
Truro0
Halifax4
United of Manchester0
Hartlepool1
Anstey Nomads2
Worksop0
Kidderminster1
Gateshead0
Morecambe3
Ebbsfleet3
Braintree1
Forest Green4
Weston-super-Mare0
Wealdstone2
Cheshunt1
Dagenham & Red.3
Hanwell Town1
Tamworth2
Boston United1
Leamington0
Rochdale1
Curzon Ashton1
Marine2
Gloucester City4
Worthing FC3
Walton & Hersham4
Sutton1
Boreham Wood3
Brackley4
Woking2
AFC Totton0
South Shields0
Macclesfield1
1/16-finals
Hereford2
AFC Fylde3
Eastleigh0
Southport2
Hornchurch1
Telford2
Yeovil1
Alvechurch0
Scunthorpe3
Clitheroe1
Leatherhead2
Horsham FC3
Chatham1
Carlisle0
Bath City1
Southend3
Halifax4
Anstey Nomads0
Kidderminster6
Morecambe2
Ebbsfleet0
Forest Green2
Wealdstone1
Dagenham & Red.0
Tamworth2
Rochdale1
Marine2
Gloucester City1
Walton & Hersham1
Brackley0
Woking2
Macclesfield1
1/8-finals
AFC Fylde0
Southport1
Telford0
Yeovil2
Scunthorpe1
Horsham FC2
Chatham0
Southend1
Halifax1
Kidderminster2
Forest Green0
Wealdstone3
Tamworth0
Marine1
Walton & Hersham1
Woking2
Quarter-finals
Southport2
Yeovil1
Horsham FC1
Southend2
Kidderminster1
Wealdstone2
Marine1
Woking0
Semi-finals
Southport1
Southend3
Wealdstone1
Marine0
Final
Southend1
Wealdstone0