Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Bedford vs Leighton Town Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Trophy 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Real Bedford advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Real Bedford
15%
Draws
0%
Leighton Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Bedford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Real Bedford taking it.
  • Real Bedford have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Real Bedford, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Real Bedford Clean Sheet 20%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Bedford Leighton Town
Matches Played 32 27
Wins 21 8
Draws 5 2
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 2.94 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.72 2.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Real Bedford vs Leighton Town
3:2
Sep 20, 2024 FA Trophy
Real Bedford vs Leighton Town
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Bedford 85 / 100
Leighton Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Bedford Leighton Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bedford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Bedford's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Leighton Town's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Leighton Town conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Bedford VS Leighton Town
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Bedford

(Home)
03 Oct
Chesham
4 : 3
Real Bedford
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leiston
26 Sept
Real Bedford
0 : 3
Wingate & Finchley
22 Sept
Stourbridge
1 : 4
Real Bedford
19 Sept
Harleston Town
1 : 2
Real Bedford
Page 1 of 7

Leighton Town

(Away)
03 Oct
Leighton Town
2 : 4
Peterborough Sports
29 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 0
Leighton Town
26 Sept
Newmarket
2 : 1
Leighton Town
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 3
Mossley AFC 2
Runcorn Linnets 1
Pontefract Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Emley 2
Dunston 0
Vauxhall 1
Newton Aycliffe 2
Stalybridge 1
Ossett United 2
Witton Albion 1
Bradford PA 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Liversedge 1
Avro 2
FC Congleton Town 1
Wythenshawe FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde -
Bridlington Town 0
Trafford 1
Consett 1
Atherton Collieries 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ashton United -
Garforth 0
Wythenshawe Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Widnes FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Brighouse Town 1
Clitheroe 2
Heaton Stannington 1
North Ferriby FC 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 6
Shepshed 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Newcastle Town 1
Kidsgrove Athletic 3
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1
Belper Town 2
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Sheffield FC 2
Loughborough Students 3
Worcester 1
Hinckley LR 4
Hednesford 4
Quorn 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Chasetown 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Coventry Sphinx 0
Sporting Khalsa 2
Bishop Auckland 1
Nantwich 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Racing Club Warwick 2
Hanley Town 3
Bedworth United 1
Sherwood Colliery 3
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 2
Stafford 1
Darlaston Town (1874) 0
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grantham Town 0
Coleshill Town 2
Rugby 0
Carlton Town 1
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Sheppey United 2
Ramsgate 3
Raynes Park Vale 4
Beckenham Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walthamstow FC 1
Real Bedford 2
Leighton Town 1
Stotfold 0
Sittingbourne 2
Sutton Common Rovers 0
Kingstonian 3
Eastbourne Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 6
Phoenix Sports 0
Croydon Athletic 1
Beaconsfield Town 0
Westfield 4
Metropolitan Police 0
Steyning Town 0
Thame United 5
Deal Town 0
Ashford United 1
Hartley Wintney 2
East Grinstead Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Basildon 2
Enfield FC 2
Biggleswade FC 0
Wroxham 1
Aylesbury United 0
Redbridge 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AFC Dunstable 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Tilbury 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Sudbury -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ware 2
Newmarket 3
Cambridge City 1
Kings Langley 0
Sevenoaks 3
Harrow Borough 0
Hayes & Yeading 0
Leatherhead 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 5
Merstham 0
Hanworth Villa 0
Margate 5
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Heybridge 0
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Wellingborough 2
Corby 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Farnham 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Badshot Lea 0
Broadbridge Heath 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Mildenhall 2
Brightlingsea 4
Brentwood 3
FC Witham Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 3
Sporting Bengal 2
Southall FC 0
Burgess Hill 2
Leverstock Green 1
Bury Town 0
Barton 2
Waltham Abbey 1
Chichester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Three Bridges 2
Hythe 1
Herne Bay 1
Northwood 0
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 2
Grays 1
Ipswich Wanderers 2
Gorleston 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carshalton -
Bashley 0
Mousehole 4
Falmouth Town 3
Cinderford Town 0
Thatcham 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Westbury United 0
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC 1
Yate 3
Bideford 2
Malvern Town 0
Helston Athletic 1
Melksham 2
Willand Rovers 0
Bishops Cleeve 2
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
Larkhall 2
Shaftesbury Town 0
North Leigh 1
Exmouth Town 4
Kidlington 1
Horndean 3
Binfield 0
Semi-finals
Workington -
TBD -
TBD -
Morpeth -
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
City Of Liverpool 4
Pontefract Collieries 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Whitby -
TBD -
AFC Emley 0
Newton Aycliffe 3
Ossett United 2
Bradford PA 1
TBD -
Prescot Cables -
Avro 0
FC Congleton Town 1
TBD -
Hyde -
Trafford 3
Atherton Collieries 1
TBD -
Ashton United -
Wythenshawe Town 2
Stocksbridge 3
TBD -
Warrington Rylands -
Guiseley -
TBD -
TBD -
Bamber Bridge -
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
TBD -
United of Manchester -
Clitheroe 3
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Lancaster -
Stourbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Matlock -
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
Gainsborough -
Stamford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 2
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Belper Town 2
Loughborough Students 1
Hinckley LR 2
Hednesford 1
Chasetown 2
TBD -
Bromsgrove -
Sporting Khalsa 4
Nantwich 3
TBD -
Harborough -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Basford Utd. -
TBD -
Hanley Town 1
Sherwood Colliery 0
Barwell -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
Walsall Wood 1
Cleethorpes 2
Ilkeston -
TBD -
Coleshill Town 3
Carlton Town 2
Worksop -
TBD -
TBD -
St Ives Town -
Leek Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Mickleover -
Spalding United -
TBD -
TBD -
Alvechurch -
Ramsgate 2
Raynes Park Vale 1
TBD -
Cray Valley -
Bowers & Pitsea -
TBD -
Real Bedford 4
Leighton Town 0
Sittingbourne 4
Kingstonian 1
TBD -
Bognor Regis -
Potters -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitehawk -
Uxbridge 2
Croydon Athletic 1
Westfield 1
Thame United 3
Ashford United 2
Hartley Wintney 1
TBD -
Walton & Hersham -
Felixstowe & Walton 2
Enfield FC 1
Wroxham 1
Haringey Borough 3
Hanwell Town -
TBD -
Berkhamsted Town 4
Tilbury 0
Sudbury -
TBD -
Newmarket 1
Cambridge City 3
Sevenoaks 1
Leatherhead 2
TBD -
Hastings -
Folkestone -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Margate 0
Lewes -
TBD -
TBD -
Bracknell Town -
Leiston -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Hendon -
Maldon & Tiptree 3
Corby 2
TBD -
Canvey Island -
Flackwell Heath 6
Broadbridge Heath 1
TBD -
Stortford -
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Cheshunt -
Brightlingsea 1
Brentwood 2
TBD -
Cray Wanderers -
Lowestoft -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town -
Marlow -
TBD -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town -
Littlehampton 1
Burgess Hill 0
Leverstock Green 3
Barton 4
Chichester City -
TBD -
Three Bridges 0
Herne Bay 3
Chertsey Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Billericay -
Chatham -
TBD -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley -
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet -
Hashtag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin -
Hadley 4
Ipswich Wanderers 1
TBD -
Carshalton -
Mousehole 3
Falmouth Town 1
Evesham 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
Gloucester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wimborne -
Frome Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Taunton Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Basingstoke -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
Hungerford -
TBD -
TBD -
Sholing -
Tiverton -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorchester -
Plymouth Parkway -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbury -
Poole Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough -
Yate 2
Bideford 0
Melksham 2
Bishops Cleeve 0
Winchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
Swindon Supermarine -
Tavistock 3
North Leigh 0
Exmouth Town 1
Horndean 2
Final
Workington 3
Morpeth 1
Blyth Spartans 0
Stockton 2
City Of Liverpool 0
Macclesfield 3
Whitby 0
Newton Aycliffe 1
Ossett United 2
Prescot Cables 0
FC Congleton Town 1
Hyde 0
Trafford 2
Ashton United 5
Stocksbridge 1
Warrington Rylands 2
Guiseley 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Hebburn Town 0
United of Manchester 3
Clitheroe 2
Lancaster 0
Stourbridge 3
Matlock 0
Kettering 0
Gainsborough 2
Stamford 1
Anstey Nomads 5
Belper Town 3
Hinckley LR 1
Chasetown 1
Bromsgrove 0
Sporting Khalsa 5
Harborough 2
Redditch 0
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 3
Hanley Town 2
Barwell 1
Stratford 0
Telford 2
Cleethorpes 1
Ilkeston 2
Coleshill Town 3
Worksop 2
St Ives Town 1
Leek Town 0
Mickleover 1
Spalding United 1
Alvechurch 2
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 3
Bowers & Pitsea 3
Real Bedford 0
Sittingbourne 2
Bognor Regis 1
Potters 2
Whitehawk 1
Uxbridge 3
Thame United 2
Ashford United 1
Walton & Hersham 0
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Haringey Borough 0
Hanwell Town 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Sudbury 0
Cambridge City 1
Leatherhead 1
Hastings 2
Folkestone 8
Ascot United 1
Lewes 6
Bracknell Town 3
Leiston 1
Horsham FC 2
Bedford 1
Hendon 5
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Canvey Island 2
Flackwell Heath 1
Stortford 2
Dover Ath. 3
Cheshunt 0
Brentwood 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Lowestoft 2
Royston Town 3
Marlow 0
Biggleswade Town 1
Littlehampton 0
Barton 1
Chichester City 2
Herne Bay 0
Chertsey Town 2
Billericay 1
Chatham 1
Wingate & Finchley 0
Dartford 0
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Hashtag 1
Hitchin 0
Hadley 3
Carshalton 1
Mousehole 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Gloucester City 3
Wimborne 2
Frome Town 1
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Taunton Town 1
Basingstoke 0
AFC Totton 1
Merthyr Town 0
Hungerford 3
Sholing 1
Tiverton 0
Dorchester 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Banbury 2
Poole Town 1
Gosport Borough 2
Yate 3
Melksham 0
Winchester City 5
Swindon Supermarine 2
Tavistock 3
Horndean 1