Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Brasilia W vs Atletico-MG W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

78' Event
Rayla
90' Event
Thalita

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Copa do Brasil Women 2025 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Real Brasilia W
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico-MG W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Brasilia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W average 2.88 goals a game right now, well clear of Real Brasilia W's 2.
  • Win probability leans Real Brasilia W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Real Brasilia W Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Brasilia W Atletico-MG W
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Real Brasilia W vs Atletico-MG W
0:2
May 11, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Real Brasilia W vs Atletico-MG W
3:1
Mar 26, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Real Brasilia W
1:0
Aug 7, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Real Brasilia W
2:3
Nov 1, 2020 Brasileiro A2 Women
Atletico-MG W vs Real Brasilia W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Brasilia W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rayla
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thalita
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Brasilia W 85 / 100
Atletico-MG W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Brasilia W Atletico-MG W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Brasilia W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico-MG W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Real Brasilia W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Brasilia W VS Atletico-MG W
2 Goals Scored 2.88
3 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Brasilia W

(Home)
19 Oct
Minas Brasilia W
3 : 2
Real Brasilia W
11 Oct
Real Brasilia W
2 : 1
Cresspom W
04 Oct
Cresspom W
0 : 4
Real Brasilia W
27 Sept
Luziania W
0 : 9
Real Brasilia W
20 Sept
Real Brasilia W
3 : 2
Cresspom W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG W

(Away)
28 May
Atletico-MG W
3 : 1
Vitoria W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
16 May
America Mineiro W
0 : 2
Atletico-MG W
12 May
Palmeiras W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
01 May
Atletico-MG W
1 : 1
Fluminense W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vasco W-
TBD-
Minas Brasilia W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sao Paulo W-
CR Flamengo W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Remo W-
TBD-
Mixto PB W0
Operario MS W1
Cruzeiro W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Corinthians W-
EC Juventude W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Taruma W1
Juventude W2
TBD-
Fortaleza W-
Taubate W-
TBD-
TBD-
Avai Kindermann W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Palmeiras W-
America Mineiro W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Santos W-
TBD-
Criciuma W1
Perolas Negras W2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manaus W4
Guarani de Paripueira W3
Ipojuca W1
Alagoinhas W0
Doce Mel W4
IAPE W1
Pinda Ferroviaria W3
Sao Raimundo RR W1
Realidade Jovem W5
Recanto W0
TBD-
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W-
Internacional W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fluminense W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Toledo W1
Brasil de Farroupilha W3
TBD-
Itacoatiara W-
UD Alagoana W0
Coritiba W1
Ceara W1
Rolim de Moura W2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Várzea Grande EC W0
Prosperidade W1
TBD-
Mixto W-
Itabirito W5
Uniao RN W1
TBD-
Vitoria W-
Bragantino W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ W-
TBD-
Tuna Luso W2
Cresspom W1
Vila Nova FC W1
Atletico-PI W2
TBD-
Acao W-
Sao Jose W-
TBD-
Ypiranga AP W2
Galvez W0
Bahia W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gremio W-
Real Brasilia W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atletico-MG W-
TBD-
TBD-
Paysandu PA W-
1/32-finals
Vasco W2
Minas Brasilia W1
TBD-
Sao Paulo W-
CR Flamengo W-
TBD-
Remo W1
Operario MS W2
Cruzeiro W-
TBD-
TBD-
Corinthians W-
EC Juventude W-
TBD-
Juventude W2
Fortaleza W4
Taubate W0
Avai Kindermann W2
TBD-
Palmeiras W-
America Mineiro W-
TBD-
Santos W3
Perolas Negras W0
TBD-
TBD-
Manaus W3
Ipojuca W2
Doce Mel W2
Pinda Ferroviaria W3
Realidade Jovem W1
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W0
Internacional W-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fluminense W-
TBD-
Brasil de Farroupilha W2
Itacoatiara W1
Coritiba W2
Rolim de Moura W1
TBD-
TBD-
Prosperidade W1
Mixto W2
Itabirito W0
Vitoria W1
Bragantino W-
TBD-
Botafogo RJ W2
Tuna Luso W1
Atletico-PI W2
Acao W0
Sao Jose W3
Ypiranga AP W2
Bahia W-
TBD-
TBD-
Gremio W-
Real Brasilia W-
TBD-
Atletico-MG W4
Paysandu PA W0
1/16-finals
Vasco W1
Sao Paulo W3
CR Flamengo W6
Operario MS W0
Cruzeiro W1
Corinthians W2
EC Juventude W3
Fortaleza W2
Avai Kindermann W0
Palmeiras W4
America Mineiro W1
Santos W0
Sport Recife W10
Manaus W0
Pinda Ferroviaria W1
Realidade Jovem W2
Internacional W3
3B da Amazonia W1
Fluminense W3
Brasil de Farroupilha W0
Coritiba W1
Ferroviaria W5
Mixto W1
Vitoria W3
Bragantino W2
Botafogo RJ W1
Atletico-PI W3
Sao Jose W0
Bahia W1
Gremio W0
Real Brasilia W0
Atletico-MG W2
1/8-finals
Sao Paulo W1
CR Flamengo W0
Corinthians W3
EC Juventude W0
Palmeiras W3
America Mineiro W0
Sport Recife W3
Realidade Jovem W1
Internacional W2
Fluminense W0
Ferroviaria W3
Vitoria W0
Bragantino W1
Atletico-PI W0
Bahia W1
Atletico-MG W0
Quarter-finals
Sao Paulo W3
Corinthians W1
Palmeiras W5
Sport Recife W0
Internacional W0
Ferroviaria W2
Bragantino W1
Bahia W2
Semi-finals
Sao Paulo W0
Palmeiras W4
Ferroviaria W2
Bahia W0
Final
Palmeiras W4
Ferroviaria W2