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Real Burgos CF vs Numancia B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 game between Real Burgos CF and Numancia B finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Numancia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Real Burgos CF
15%
Draws
21%
Numancia B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Burgos CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Numancia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Real Burgos CF a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Numancia B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Real Burgos CF Clean Sheet 68%
Numancia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Burgos CF Numancia B
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 4 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 19 21
Goals Scored 0.77 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.49
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs Numancia B
2:3
Feb 3, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Real Burgos CF
5:0
Jan 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Numancia B vs Real Burgos CF
3:0
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs Numancia B
0:2
Apr 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Real Burgos CF vs Numancia B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Burgos CF 86 / 100
Numancia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Burgos CF Numancia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Burgos CF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Burgos CF found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Numancia B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Numancia B's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Numancia B
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Burgos CF

(Home)
20 Jun
Penaranda de Bracamonte
3 : 1
Real Burgos CF
13 Jun
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Becerril
30 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 0
La Baneza
22 May
Salamanca CF UDS B
2 : 1
Real Burgos CF
16 May
Real Burgos CF
1 : 2
Santa Marta Tormes
Page 1 of 6

Numancia B

(Away)
10 May
Unionistas de Salamanca B
1 : 0
Numancia B
02 May
Numancia B
0 : 2
Guijuelo
25 Apr
Leonesa B
3 : 0
Numancia B
18 Apr
Numancia B
1 : 1
CD Mojados
11 Apr
Almazan
5 : 0
Numancia B
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palencia CA 20 14 2 4 29:11 44
2 Atletico Astorga 20 10 5 5 26:11 35
3 Leonesa B 20 9 8 3 25:18 35
4 La Virgen 20 8 7 5 22:18 31
5 Atletico Tordesillas 20 7 5 8 21:22 26
6 Bembibre 20 6 8 6 17:20 26
7 La Baneza 20 6 7 7 23:23 25
8 Salamanca CF UDS B 20 4 10 6 17:26 22
9 Santa Marta Tormes 20 5 6 9 14:17 21
10 Penaranda de Bracamonte 20 4 4 12 13:28 16
11 Becerril 20 3 6 11 10:23 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastica Segoviana 22 18 3 1 54:10 57
2 Burgos CF B 22 11 7 4 33:15 40
3 Numancia B 22 12 3 7 40:34 39
4 Arandina 22 10 6 6 41:31 36
5 Mirandes B 22 8 9 5 30:21 33
6 Real Avila 22 9 4 9 25:23 31
7 Almazan 22 9 4 9 26:31 31
8 Colegios Diocesanos 22 7 2 13 19:42 23
9 La Granja 22 6 4 12 24:30 22
10 Real Burgos CF 22 4 7 11 18:37 19
11 CD Cebrerena 22 5 4 13 18:36 19
12 Bupolsa 22 4 5 13 17:35 17
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 8 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)