Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Oboe M.
46'
46'
Bonseri M.
90'
90'
Bonseri M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
AC Leon in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored AC Leon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to AC Leon lately — more wins on the board than Real Calepina.
- Model gives Real Calepina a 35% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and AC Leon have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | AC Leon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs AC Leon
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Real Calepina
2:0
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Real Calepina
4:3
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs AC Leon
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Oboe M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
AC Leon Compare
Top Goalscorer Bonseri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 50 / 100
AC Leon 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina AC Leon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Real Calepina scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.
AC Leon has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Real Calepina remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS AC Leon
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
19 Apr
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Real Calepina
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
08 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 0 AC Milan U23
15 Mar
Real Calepina
1 : 0 Chievo
Page 1 of 3
AC Leon
(Away) 12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Caldiero Terme
1 : 1 AC Leon
13 Aug
Arconatese
2 : 2 AC Leon
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
03 May
USD Casatese
1 : 0 AC Leon
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 AC Leon
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
