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Real Calepina vs AC Leon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Real Calepina Logo

Real Calepina

0 - 2
FT
AC Leon Logo

AC Leon

Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Redondi D.
56' Event
Goglino P. A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Real Calepina
30%
Draws
47%
AC Leon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Leon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Calepina haven't matched AC Leon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans AC Leon's way, sitting at 50%.
  • AC Leon arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AC Leon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and AC Leon have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 17%
AC Leon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina AC Leon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie D
Real Calepina vs AC Leon
0:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs AC Leon
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Real Calepina
2:0
Apr 10, 2022 Serie D - Group B
AC Leon vs Real Calepina
4:3
Nov 28, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs AC Leon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AC Leon Compare

Top Goalscorer Redondi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goglino P. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 23 / 100
AC Leon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina AC Leon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Leon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AC Leon let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Real Calepina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS AC Leon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

AC Leon

(Away)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Club Milano
1 : 2
AC Leon
27 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 2
Villa Valle
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
AC Leon
1 : 1
Piacenza
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
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