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Real Calepina vs Brusaporto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cortesi M.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Ekuban T. A.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Giorno F.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Brusaporto in this Serie D - Group B matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brusaporto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Real Calepina
15%
Draws
59%
Brusaporto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brusaporto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brusaporto lately — more wins on the board than Real Calepina.
  • Brusaporto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 18%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina Brusaporto
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.23 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
2:3
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Real Calepina
0:3
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brusaporto vs Real Calepina
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Brusaporto Compare

Top Goalscorer Valsecchi P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Djoubeirou Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 28 / 100
Brusaporto 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina Brusaporto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brusaporto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Calepina found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Brusaporto conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Real Calepina went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS Brusaporto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Calepina
0 : 2
AC Leon
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1
Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
Page 1 of 6

Brusaporto

(Away)
07 Oct
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Chievo
04 Oct
Brusaporto
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3
Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1
Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chievo 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
2 Nibbiano & Valtidone 6 5 0 1 7:2 15
3 Piacenza 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Pro Palazzolo 6 3 1 2 6:7 10
5 Ciserano-Bergamo 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
6 AC Leon 6 2 3 1 9:7 9
7 Caldiero Terme 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
8 AC Milan U23 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
9 Brusaporto 6 3 0 3 7:8 9
10 Real Calepina 6 2 2 2 11:9 8
11 Virtus Verona 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
12 Villa Valle 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
13 Pavonese 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
14 Scanzorosciate 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
15 Club Milano 6 1 1 4 4:7 4
16 Rovato Vertovese 6 0 3 3 8:12 3
17 Fiorenzuola 6 0 2 4 1:7 2
18 Tritium 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)