Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Scalmana P.
90'
90'
Seck M.
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Brusaporto
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Brusaporto lately — more wins on the board than Real Calepina.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 15%
Brusaporto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | Brusaporto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
2:3
Jan 11, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Brusaporto vs Real Calepina
0:3
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Brusaporto vs Real Calepina
1:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Brusaporto
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Scalmana P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Brusaporto Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 31 / 100
Brusaporto 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina Brusaporto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Calepina scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Brusaporto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Real Calepina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS Brusaporto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
Page 1 of 3
Brusaporto
(Away) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0 Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1 Tritium
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
AC Milan U23
2 : 1 Brusaporto
06 Sept
AC Leon
2 : 0 Brusaporto
05 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 0 Brusaporto
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1 Brusaporto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 58:27 | 68 |
| 2 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 49:28 | 61 |
| 3 | Chievo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 52:43 | 60 |
| 4 | AC Milan U23 | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 62:37 | 56 |
| 5 | AC Leon | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 44:34 | 53 |
| 6 | Brusaporto | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:38 | 51 |
| 7 | Oltrepo | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 38:36 | 50 |
| 8 | Scanzorosciate | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 47 |
| 10 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 33:31 | 46 |
| 11 | Caldiero Terme | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 50:40 | 45 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 42:47 | 42 |
| 13 | Castellanzese | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 41:39 | 41 |
| 14 | Breno | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 39:51 | 38 |
| 15 | Pavia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:47 | 37 |
| 16 | Varesina | 34 | 7 | 15 | 12 | 38:44 | 36 |
| 17 | Sondrio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 37:64 | 31 |
| 18 | Vogherese | 34 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 21:80 | -17 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
