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Real Calepina vs Lavis

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Ekuban T. A.
27' Event
D'Amuri M.
44' Event
Ekuban T. A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 game between Real Calepina and Lavis finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Calepina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Real Calepina
30%
Draws
0%
Lavis
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Calepina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lavis haven't matched Real Calepina's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Real Calepina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
Lavis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Calepina Lavis
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 2
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 26
Goals Scored 1.35 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Real Calepina vs Lavis
4:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Lavis vs Real Calepina
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Calepina Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekuban T. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Amuri M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lavis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ischia S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Calepina 95 / 100
Lavis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Calepina Lavis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Calepina scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Lavis has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Lavis's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Calepina VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Calepina

(Home)
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2
Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1
Real Calepina
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Lavis

(Away)
04 May
Cjarlins Muzane
2 : 1
Lavis
27 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Mestre
17 Apr
Este
3 : 2
Lavis
12 Apr
Bassano Virtus
5 : 0
Lavis
06 Apr
Lavis
0 : 1
Portogruaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 23 9 6 65:39 78
2 Treviso 38 22 8 8 59:32 74
3 Villa Valle 38 19 10 9 62:44 67
4 Adriese 38 18 12 8 55:31 66
5 Mestre 38 19 7 12 40:34 64
6 Campodarsego 38 15 17 6 52:36 62
7 Brusaporto 38 16 12 10 46:37 60
8 Luparense FC 38 13 17 8 48:36 56
9 Real Calepina 38 15 10 13 44:44 55
10 Cjarlins Muzane 38 15 10 13 50:49 55
11 Este 38 14 12 12 50:50 54
12 Brian Lignano 38 12 12 14 45:49 48
13 Calvi Noale 38 12 11 15 44:44 47
14 Bassano Virtus 38 11 14 13 43:36 47
15 Portogruaro 38 10 16 12 32:36 46
16 Caravaggio 38 11 8 19 42:54 41
17 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 9 13 16 42:55 40
18 Chions 38 6 12 20 35:59 30
19 Montecchio Maggiore 38 6 9 23 32:55 27
20 Lavis 38 3 3 32 25:91 12
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2024/2025 (Play Out)