Sport Picks
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Coppa Italia Serie D 2023/2024 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Calepina
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Calepina have won more games recently than Ponte San Pietro.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Real Calepina taking it.
- Real Calepina have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Real Calepina, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 20%
Ponte San Pietro Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | Ponte San Pietro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
3:0
Dec 20, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Real Calepina
0:1
Oct 18, 2023 Coppa Italia Serie D
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Ponte San Pietro
0:0
Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Ponte San Pietro vs Real Calepina
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 36 / 100
Ponte San Pietro 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina Ponte San Pietro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Calepina found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Ponte San Pietro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Real Calepina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Ponte San Pietro lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
20 Sept
Piacenza
3 : 1 Real Calepina
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 3 Brusaporto
16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
Page 1 of 3
Ponte San Pietro
(Away) 05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
28 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
2 : 3 Villa Valle
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
14 Apr
Ponte San Pietro
0 : 1 Brusaporto
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 6
05 May
Real Calepina
3 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
21 Apr
Varesina
2 : 1 Ponte San Pietro
07 Apr
Castellanzese
2 : 5 Ponte San Pietro
24 Mar
Piacenza
4 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 2
Virtus Bolzano 0
Luparense FC 3
Chions 1
Clodiense 1
Ravenna 0
Campodarsego 1
Montecchio Maggiore 0
Arconatese 1
Alcione Milano 0
Castellanzese 0
Varesina 2
Pro Palazzolo 1
Desenzano Calvina 0
Real Calepina 1
Ponte San Pietro 0
Asti Calcio 1
PDHA 0
Chisola 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 1
Fanfulla 0
Fezzanese 0
Vado 1
Livorno 2
Ghiviborgo 1
Poggibonsi 2
Aglianese Calcio 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Sangiovannese 1
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 2
Pistoiese 1
San Donnino 0
Corticella 3
Forli FC 1
Imolese 3
Fano 2
Sambenedettese 1
Notaresco Calcio 0
Campobasso 1
Grosseto 2
Nuova Florida 3
Tivoli Calcio 1
Ostiamare 0
Trastevere Calcio 2
Latte Dolce 0
Real Monterotondo 1
Cynthialbalonga 2
Citta di Fasano 3
Casarano 4
Fidelis Andria 2
Bitonto 1
San Marzano 2
Paganese 3
Cavese 3
Rotonda 0
Angri 3
Real Casalnuovo 1
Vibonese 1
Lamezia Terme 2
Akragas 2
Canicatti 1
Trapani 2
Sancataldese 1
1/16-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Luparense FC 0
Clodiense 1
Campodarsego 0
Arconatese 0
Varesina 1
Pro Palazzolo 2
Real Calepina 1
Asti Calcio 1
Bra 2
USD Casatese 2
Vado 1
Livorno 3
Poggibonsi 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 1
Corticella 0
Imolese 2
Fano 0
Campobasso 1
Nuova Florida 2
Tivoli Calcio 1
Trastevere Calcio 0
Cynthialbalonga 1
Casarano 0
Fidelis Andria 3
Paganese 0
Cavese 1
Angri -
Lamezia Terme -
Akragas 0
Trapani 3
1/8-finals
Dolomiti Bellunesi 0
Clodiense 2
Varesina 3
Pro Palazzolo 0
Bra 0
USD Casatese 1
Livorno 0
Follonica Gavorrano 3
Imolese 1
Campobasso 0
Nuova Florida 2
Cynthialbalonga 1
Fidelis Andria 3
Cavese 1
Angri 0
Trapani 3
Quarter-finals
Clodiense 0
Varesina 1
USD Casatese 1
Follonica Gavorrano 2
Imolese 1
Nuova Florida 0
Fidelis Andria 1
Trapani 2
Semi-finals
Varesina 3
Follonica Gavorrano 4
Imolese 1
Trapani 3
Final
Follonica Gavorrano 1
Trapani 2
