Sport Picks
Match Events
27'
27'
Girma N.
33'
33'
Bacchin L.
41'
41'
Denis G.
AI Match Summary
Real Calepina in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Calepina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Real Calepina lately — more wins on the board than Sona.
- 28% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Real Calepina Clean Sheet 68%
Sona Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Calepina | Sona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 12 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Real Calepina
1:1
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
3:1
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Real Calepina
0:0
Nov 14, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
3:3
Mar 7, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Real Calepina vs Sona
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Calepina Compare
Top Goalscorer Bacchin L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Denis G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Sona Compare
Top Goalscorer Girma N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Calepina 41 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Calepina Sona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Real Calepina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Calepina scored in 86% of their last 35 games.
Sona has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Real Calepina went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Calepina VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Calepina
(Home) 16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
12 Sept
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0 Real Calepina
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Sondrio
5 : 1 Real Calepina
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16 Sept
Real Calepina
2 : 2 Caldiero Terme
06 Sept
Real Calepina
5 : 1 Pro Palazzolo
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Scanzorosciate
12 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 1 Breno
08 Apr
Real Calepina
1 : 0 AC Milan U23
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Sona
(Away) 07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3 Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1 Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2 Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1 Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0 Caronnese
Page 1 of 6
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3 Sona
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1 Sona
02 Apr
USD Casatese
2 : 0 Sona
12 Mar
Alcione Milano
2 : 0 Sona
26 Feb
Ciserano-Bergamo
2 : 0 Sona
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lumezzane | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 67:20 | 77 |
| 2 | Alcione Milano | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 67:31 | 71 |
| 3 | USD Casatese | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 38:26 | 59 |
| 4 | Arconatese | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 54:37 | 57 |
| 5 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 47:41 | 53 |
| 6 | Franciacorta | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 44:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Ponte San Pietro | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 47:38 | 49 |
| 8 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 42:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Brusaporto | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 43:38 | 47 |
| 10 | Varesina | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:50 | 46 |
| 11 | Villa Valle | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 40:47 | 41 |
| 12 | Real Calepina | 34 | 7 | 18 | 9 | 30:33 | 39 |
| 13 | Folgore Caratese | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:46 | 39 |
| 14 | Seregno Calcio | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 42:56 | 38 |
| 15 | Breno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 35:50 | 37 |
| 16 | Varese FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 30:46 | 33 |
| 17 | Sona | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 28:56 | 27 |
| 18 | Caronnese | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 24:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)
