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Real du Cap vs America des Cayes

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2021 game between Real du Cap and America des Cayes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Real du Cap
20%
Draws
50%
America des Cayes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America des Cayes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • America des Cayes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Real du Cap are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Real du Cap Clean Sheet 16%
America des Cayes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real du Cap America des Cayes
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 12
Draws 6 13
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2020 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs America des Cayes
1:1
Sep 15, 2019 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Real du Cap
1:0
Mar 14, 2019 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs America des Cayes
1:0
Sep 24, 2017 Championnat National
America des Cayes vs Real du Cap
1:3
Mar 18, 2017 Championnat National
Real du Cap vs America des Cayes
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real du Cap 36 / 100
America des Cayes 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real du Cap America des Cayes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real du Cap's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Defensive concern: America des Cayes conceded in 52% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Real du Cap stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS America des Cayes
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real du Cap

(Home)
29 May
Real du Cap
1 : 2
Rivartibonitienne
23 May
Juventus
2 : 1
Real du Cap
19 May
Real du Cap
0 : 1
Mirebalais
16 May
Real du Cap
2 : 0
Fica
13 May
Racing Haitien
4 : 0
Real du Cap
Page 1 of 6

America des Cayes

(Away)
28 May
Violette
2 : 0
America des Cayes
25 May
America des Cayes
1 : 1
Juventus
22 May
Don Bosco
1 : 1
America des Cayes
17 May
America des Cayes
0 : 2
Juventus
14 May
Cavaly
0 : 1
America des Cayes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arcahaie 17 9 3 5 20:10 30
2 Baltimore 17 8 6 3 12:5 30
3 Triomphe Liancourt 17 9 3 5 17:15 30
4 AS Capoise 17 7 6 4 16:12 27
5 Racing Haitien 17 8 3 6 17:14 27
6 Violette 17 5 10 2 18:13 25
7 Cavaly 17 7 4 6 16:14 25
8 America des Cayes 17 7 4 6 16:15 25
9 Real du Cap 17 6 5 6 21:15 23
10 Tempete 17 6 4 7 18:15 22
11 Juventus 17 6 4 7 12:16 22
12 Rivartibonitienne 17 5 5 7 15:22 20
13 Don Bosco 17 4 7 6 20:21 19
14 Ouanaminthe 17 4 6 7 11:18 18
15 Cosmopolites 17 4 6 7 13:23 18
16 Fica 17 2 11 4 17:16 17
17 Racing des Gonaives 17 3 7 7 12:18 16
18 Mirebalais 17 2 8 7 10:19 14
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)
Promotion - Championnat National 2021 (Serie de Ouverture - Play Offs)