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Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Honduras Honduras

Liga Nacional Estadio Francisco Morazán, San Pedro Sula
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Hernandez E.
16' Event
Garcia A.
31'
Carter D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional game between Real Espana and Lobos UPNFM finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Espana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Real Espana
20%
Draws
28%
Lobos UPNFM
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Espana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Espana come out ahead of Lobos UPNFM on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real Espana's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Espana Clean Sheet 20%
Lobos UPNFM Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Espana Lobos UPNFM
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 10 9
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.62 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0
Apr 13, 2026 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Real Espana
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
4:3
Dec 7, 2025 Liga Nacional
Lobos UPNFM vs Real Espana
0:0
Sep 22, 2025 Liga Nacional
Real Espana vs Lobos UPNFM
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Espana Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Lobos UPNFM Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Espana 85 / 100
Lobos UPNFM 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Espana Lobos UPNFM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Espana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Espana found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Real Espana remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Lobos UPNFM conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Real Espana VS Lobos UPNFM
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Espana

(Home)
20 Sept
Real Espana
1 : 0
Motagua
12 Sept
Olancho
1 : 1
Real Espana
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
30 Aug
Real Espana
2 : 1
CD Choloma
23 Aug
Marathon
1 : 1
Real Espana
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Lobos UPNFM

(Away)
18 Sept
Platense
0 : 2
Lobos UPNFM
13 Sept
Lobos UPNFM
1 : 0
CD Choloma
06 Sept
Real Espana
2 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
29 Aug
Juticalpa
1 : 0
Lobos UPNFM
22 Aug
Motagua
4 : 1
Lobos UPNFM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Espana 8 5 3 0 13:4 18
2 Olimpia 8 5 2 1 19:7 17
3 Marathon 8 5 2 1 14:6 17
4 Motagua 8 4 1 3 11:8 13
5 Genesis FC 8 3 2 3 10:6 11
6 Olancho 8 2 5 1 6:5 11
7 Estrella 8 2 3 3 13:16 9
8 Atletico Independiente 8 2 3 3 7:11 9
9 Lobos UPNFM 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
10 CD Choloma 8 2 1 5 6:8 7
11 Juticalpa 8 2 0 6 8:19 6
12 Platense 8 1 2 5 6:18 5
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Nacional (Relegation)