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Real Hope vs Cibao

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Lopez J.
11' Event
Angelo E.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Diaz J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Cibao advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Real Hope
30%
Draws
29%
Cibao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Hope

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cibao come out ahead of Real Hope on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Real Hope's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Cibao arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cibao, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Real Hope Clean Sheet 20%
Cibao Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Hope Cibao
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 14 16
Draws 4 11
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.15 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Cibao vs Real Hope
1:0
Oct 24, 2024 CONCACAF Caribbean Cup
Real Hope vs Cibao
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Hope Compare

Top Goalscorer Angelo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cibao Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Hope 36 / 100
Cibao 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Hope Cibao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Hope scored in 63% of their last 27 outings.

Cibao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Real Hope remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cibao
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Hope

(Home)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 0
Fica
20 Apr
AS Capoise
0 : 1
Real Hope
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Fica
1 : 0
Real Hope
Page 1 of 6

Cibao

(Away)
27 Sept
Cibao
3 : 0
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
23 Sept
Salcedo
0 : 0
Cibao
20 Sept
Cibao
1 : 1
Universidad O&M
17 Sept
Cibao
1 : 2
Portmore
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Cavalier 7
Moca 0
Cibao 4
Real Hope 2
Final
Cavalier 2
Cibao 2
Moca 2
Real Hope 4