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Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Fortuny P.
(Penalty)
39' Event
Mayorga A.
Assist: Aparicio E.
45' Event
Aparicio E.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Real Madrid B
30%
Draws
43%
Alcorcon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid B lately — more wins on the board than Alcorcon.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 22%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Alcorcon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 12
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.66 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
1:2
Aug 22, 2025 Club Friendly
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
2:1
Oct 20, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Real Madrid B
2:1
Feb 5, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Alcorcon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayorga A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aparicio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 16 / 100
Alcorcon 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Alcorcon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Alcorcon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Real Madrid B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Alcorcon
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
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Alcorcon

(Away)
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
8 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
9 UD Ibiza 6 3 0 3 8:8 9
10 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
11 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
12 Real Madrid B 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)