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Real Madrid B vs Arenas Getxo

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Fernandez Cozar M.
36'
Aragoneses S.
36'
Sub
Valdepenas V. In: Fati L.
Out: Valdepenas V.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid B and Arenas Getxo finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Real Madrid B
20%
Draws
10%
Arenas Getxo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid B come out ahead of Arenas Getxo on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 68%
Arenas Getxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Arenas Getxo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.66 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Real Madrid B vs Arenas Getxo
3:3
Jan 10, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Arenas Getxo vs Real Madrid B
4:1
Apr 8, 2017 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Arenas Getxo
1:3
Nov 12, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Arenas Getxo vs Real Madrid B
1:1
Feb 27, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Arenas Getxo vs Real Madrid B
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Fettal R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fortuny P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Arenas Getxo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Cozar M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hidalgo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 95 / 100
Arenas Getxo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Arenas Getxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arenas Getxo let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Real Madrid B's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Real Madrid B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Arenas Getxo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
05 Sept
Real Madrid B
2 : 0
Torremolinos
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Arenas Getxo

(Away)
03 Oct
Barakaldo
1 : 1
Arenas Getxo
26 Sept
Arenas Getxo
0 : 3
Ath Bilbao B
20 Sept
Cacereno
3 : 0
Arenas Getxo
13 Sept
Arenas Getxo
1 : 2
Zamora
05 Sept
Pontevedra
4 : 1
Arenas Getxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tenerife 38 22 10 6 62:24 76
2 Celta Vigo B 38 18 11 9 61:48 65
3 Zamora 38 17 10 11 53:42 61
4 Ponferradina 38 17 9 12 43:33 60
5 Real Madrid B 38 16 10 12 61:52 58
6 Pontevedra 38 14 16 8 49:31 58
7 Barakaldo 38 15 13 10 51:38 58
8 Unionistas de Salamanca 38 15 11 12 53:49 56
9 Lugo 38 13 14 11 36:40 53
10 AD Merida 38 14 10 14 47:53 52
11 Arenas Getxo 38 15 7 16 46:55 52
12 Racing Club Ferrol 38 13 10 15 41:47 49
13 Ath Bilbao B 38 13 10 15 38:46 49
14 Real Aviles 38 11 11 16 55:67 44
15 Cacereno 38 10 14 14 42:49 44
16 CF Talavera 38 11 10 17 38:47 43
17 Ourense CF 38 10 13 15 44:47 43
18 Guadalajara 38 10 11 17 44:58 41
19 Osasuna B 38 10 10 18 28:42 40
20 Arenteiro 38 6 10 22 29:53 28
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Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)