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Real Madrid B vs Atl. Madrid B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Carvajal A.
Assist: Rivas M.
18'
Fortea J.
20'
Garcia D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 game between Real Madrid B and Atl. Madrid B finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Real Madrid B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Madrid B
30%
Draws
41%
Atl. Madrid B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Madrid B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid B's 1.63 goals per match outpaces what Atl. Madrid B have produced (1.6).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Real Madrid B Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid B Atl. Madrid B
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.63 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Atl. Madrid B
3:2
Apr 12, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Atl. Madrid B
1:1
Nov 2, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Real Madrid B
1:1
Mar 17, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Real Madrid B
2:0
Sep 16, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid B vs Atl. Madrid B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Carvajal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yanez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atl. Madrid B Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaakobishvili A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mota K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid B 32 / 100
Atl. Madrid B 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid B Atl. Madrid B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid B scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Atl. Madrid B let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid B stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid B VS Atl. Madrid B
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid B

(Home)
09 Oct
UD Ibiza
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
23 Sept
Sant Andreu
1 : 1
Real Madrid B
12 Sept
Aguilas FC
1 : 0
Real Madrid B
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Atl. Madrid B

(Away)
02 Oct
Real Madrid B
3 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3
Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0
Atl. Madrid B
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0
Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2
Atl. Madrid B
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 6 5 0 1 12:6 15
2 Villarreal B 6 4 1 1 12:6 13
3 Alcorcon 6 3 3 0 13:4 12
4 Murcia 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 FC Cartagena SAD 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
6 Jaen 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
7 UD Ibiza 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
8 Hercules 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
9 Antequera 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
10 Real Madrid B 7 2 3 2 8:7 9
11 Huesca 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
12 Atl. Madrid B 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
13 Sant Andreu 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
14 Gimnastic de Tarragona 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
15 Algeciras 6 2 1 3 8:11 7
16 Aguilas FC 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
17 Rayo Majadahonda 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
18 CE Europa 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
19 Teruel 6 0 2 4 2:12 2
20 Torremolinos 6 0 1 5 6:16 1
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)