Sport Picks
Real Madrid B W vs Villarreal W
Spain
Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid 
Match Events
87'
87'
Pesantez D.
90'
90'
Del Pino E.
AI Match Summary
The Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid B W and Villarreal W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid B W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Madrid B W come out ahead of Villarreal W on wins alone.
- Real Madrid B W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Madrid B W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Real Madrid B W Clean Sheet 20%
Villarreal W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid B W | Villarreal W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 14 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Villarreal W
1:1
Nov 22, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Real Madrid B W
1:2
Mar 29, 2025 Primera Federacion Women
Villarreal W vs Real Madrid B W
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Primera Federacion Women
Real Madrid B W vs Villarreal W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Madrid B W Compare
Top Goalscorer Del Pino E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Villarreal W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pesantez D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Madrid B W 42 / 100
Villarreal W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Madrid B W Villarreal W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Madrid B W scored in 80% of their last 30 games.
Villarreal W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Real Madrid B W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Real Madrid B W VS Villarreal W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid B W
(Home) 02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
25 Apr
Barcelona B W
3 : 0 Real Madrid B W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0 Real Oviedo W
29 Mar
Betis W
0 : 3 Real Madrid B W
22 Mar
Albacete W
0 : 0 Real Madrid B W
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
04 Apr
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0 Real Oviedo W
15 Mar
Real Madrid B W
2 : 1 Tenerife B W
14 Feb
Real Madrid B W
2 : 0 CE Europa W
01 Feb
Real Madrid B W
1 : 2 Cacereno W
Page 1 of 3
Villarreal W
(Away) 30 May
Valencia W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
23 May
Villarreal W
0 : 0 Valencia W
17 May
Villarreal W
3 : 1 CA Osasuna W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2 Villarreal W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Valencia W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
09 May
CA Osasuna W
1 : 2 Villarreal W
02 May
Real Madrid B W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
05 Apr
Cacereno W
0 : 0 Villarreal W
22 Mar
CE Europa W
1 : 1 Villarreal W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona B W | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 67:26 | 58 |
| 2 | Alaves W | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 44:15 | 56 |
| 3 | Valencia W | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 35:18 | 46 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B W | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:27 | 41 |
| 5 | Tenerife B W | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 39 |
| 6 | Villarreal W | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 35:31 | 38 |
| 7 | CA Osasuna W | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:26 | 33 |
| 8 | Albacete W | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 25:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Cacereno W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 22:33 | 31 |
| 10 | Atl. Madrid B W | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 26:32 | 31 |
| 11 | SE AEM W | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 26:36 | 30 |
| 12 | CE Europa W | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 29:47 | 23 |
| 13 | Betis W | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 24:48 | 23 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo W | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 18:42 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga F Women (Main)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Federacion Women 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)