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Real Madrid C vs AD Colmenar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid C in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Real Madrid C
35%
Draws
51%
AD Colmenar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AD Colmenar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid C have won more games recently than AD Colmenar.
  • Model gives AD Colmenar a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
AD Colmenar Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C AD Colmenar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
1:0
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Real Madrid C
1:0
Apr 15, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Colmenar vs Real Madrid C
1:0
Nov 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
3:0
Mar 20, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Real Madrid C vs AD Colmenar
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 16 / 100
AD Colmenar 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C AD Colmenar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Colmenar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Colmenar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Real Madrid C found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Real Madrid C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1
Guadalajara
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
Page 1 of 6

AD Colmenar

(Away)
21 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 0
Villaverde San Andres
23 Aug
AD Colmenar
2 : 1
Moratalaz
13 May
AD Colmenar
4 : 0
San Agustin
06 May
Leganes B
3 : 3
AD Colmenar
02 May
AD Colmenar
1 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rayo Majadahonda 38 21 8 9 67:38 71
2 Navalcarnero 38 18 10 10 43:37 64
3 Mexico 38 17 13 8 59:39 64
4 Union Adarve 38 17 12 9 40:31 63
5 Alcorcon B 38 17 12 9 57:41 63
6 San Sebastian Reyes 38 18 8 12 47:32 62
7 DUX Internacional de Madrid 38 16 12 10 48:42 60
8 RSD Alcala 38 13 17 8 41:29 56
9 Real Madrid C 38 16 7 15 50:40 55
10 Pozuelo de Alarcon 38 16 6 16 46:45 54
11 Parla 38 14 11 13 47:39 53
12 Atletico Pinto 38 15 7 16 44:42 52
13 Atl. Madrid C 38 14 7 17 53:66 49
14 Puerta Bonita 38 12 11 15 42:44 47
15 CD Mostoles 38 11 13 14 44:46 46
16 San Fernando de Henares 38 9 17 12 35:42 44
17 Siello 38 10 13 15 37:51 43
18 Alcobendas 38 7 15 16 35:49 36
19 AD Colmenar 38 10 5 23 35:65 35
20 AD Torrejon 38 6 2 30 22:74 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)