Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid C vs CD Estepona

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Ciudad Real Madrid, Madrid
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Mesonero D.
20' Event
Pena H.
46' Event
Candelas A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-2. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Real Madrid C
30%
Draws
41%
CD Estepona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Estepona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • CD Estepona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid C's way, sitting at 36%.
  • CD Estepona arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 19%
CD Estepona Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C CD Estepona
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
CD Estepona vs Real Madrid C
3:1
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid C vs CD Estepona
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesonero D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leiva A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CD Estepona Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Candelas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 36 / 100
CD Estepona 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C CD Estepona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Madrid C scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

CD Estepona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Real Madrid C remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS CD Estepona
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Albacete B
29 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
0 : 1
Real Madrid C
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2
Baleares
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CD Estepona

(Away)
27 Sept
Tenerife B
2 : 1
CD Estepona
19 Sept
Puente Genil
0 : 2
CD Estepona
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
05 Sept
CD Estepona
0 : 0
Xerez CD
16 May
CD Estepona
3 : 1
Real Madrid C
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Real Madrid C 3
CD Estepona 5
Castellon B 2
SD Logrones 4