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Real Madrid C vs Conquense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Real Madrid C host Conquense in the Segunda RFEF - Group 5. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Real Madrid C at 0.96 goals for, 1.14 against; Conquense at 1.55 for, 0.93 against. Head-to-head, Real Madrid C have won 1 to Conquense's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.38) point toward Conquense. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Real Madrid C
30%
Draws
56%
Conquense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Conquense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid C haven't matched Conquense's recent run of results.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Conquense taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 17%
Conquense Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid C Conquense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.96 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Conquense
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Real Madrid C
1:0
Apr 27, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Conquense vs Real Madrid C
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Conquense
0:1
Apr 17, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Real Madrid C vs Conquense
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid C 10 / 100
Conquense 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid C Conquense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conquense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid C's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Conquense let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Real Madrid C has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid C VS Conquense
0.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid C

(Home)
11 Oct
Real Madrid C
0 : 0
Atletico Tordesillas
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1
Guadalajara
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0
Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0
Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0
Real Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

Conquense

(Away)
11 Oct
Conquense
4 : 0
Albacete B
04 Oct
Atl. Madrid C
3 : 2
Conquense
27 Sept
Navalcarnero
1 : 3
Conquense
20 Sept
Conquense
1 : 0
Salamanca CF UDS
13 Sept
Gimnastica Segoviana
1 : 2
Conquense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 7 4 2 1 10:7 14
2 Conquense 6 4 1 1 14:7 13
3 Numancia 6 3 3 0 6:1 12
4 Salamanca CF UDS 6 4 0 2 10:7 12
5 CF Talavera 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
6 Valladolid Promesas 6 3 1 2 12:5 10
7 San Sebastian Reyes 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 7 2 3 2 13:12 9
9 Guadalajara 6 2 2 2 12:10 8
10 Navalcarnero 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 RSD Alcala 6 2 1 3 10:10 7
12 Real Avila 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
13 Atletico Tordesillas 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
14 Atletico Paso 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
15 Puertollano C.F. 6 1 2 3 2:8 5
16 Albacete B 6 1 2 3 7:19 5
17 Real Madrid C 6 0 4 2 1:4 4
18 Getafe B 6 0 3 3 4:9 3
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)