Sport Picks
Real Madrid C vs Guadalajara - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 
Match Events
44'
44'
Diez Pagonessa C. J.
(Penalty)
83'
83'
Bautista M.
AI Match Summary
The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between Real Madrid C and Guadalajara finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
35%
41%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guadalajara
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Madrid C carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Real Madrid C Clean Sheet 20%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid C | Guadalajara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Guadalajara
1:1
Mar 1, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Real Madrid C vs Guadalajara
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Guadalajara vs Real Madrid C
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Madrid C Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Guadalajara Compare
Top Goalscorer Bautista M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Madrid C 32 / 100
Guadalajara 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Madrid C Guadalajara
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guadalajara has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Attacking prowess: Real Madrid C scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Real Madrid C stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Real Madrid C VS Guadalajara
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid C
(Home) 07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1 Guadalajara
03 Oct
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Real Madrid C
27 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 0 Real Madrid C
13 Sept
CF Talavera
0 : 0 Real Madrid C
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0 Albacete B
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1 Guadalajara
06 Sept
Real Madrid C
0 : 0 Albacete B
21 Aug
Real Madrid C
0 : 2 Baleares
10 May
Real Madrid C
2 : 2 CD Estepona
03 May
Real Madrid C
0 : 1 Conquense
Page 1 of 3
Guadalajara
(Away) 07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1 Guadalajara
03 Oct
Guadalajara
3 : 3 Gimnastica Segoviana
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0 Guadalajara
13 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 1 RSD Alcala
06 Sept
Guadalajara
2 : 3 Salamanca CF UDS
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Real Madrid C
1 : 1 Guadalajara
27 Sept
Numancia
1 : 0 Guadalajara
29 Aug
Conquense
4 : 1 Guadalajara
18 Aug
Marchamalo
1 : 0 Guadalajara
05 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0 Guadalajara
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Numancia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5:0 | 11 |
| 3 | San Sebastian Reyes | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Conquense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Valladolid Promesas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Salamanca CF UDS | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 7 | CF Talavera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 8 | Gimnastica Segoviana | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:10 | 7 |
| 9 | Navalcarnero | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 10 | RSD Alcala | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Real Avila | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 12 | Guadalajara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 13 | Atletico Paso | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 14 | Albacete B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico Tordesillas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | 4 |
| 16 | Puertollano C.F. | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 17 | Getafe B | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 18 | Real Madrid C | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)
