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Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Real Madrid U19 Logo

Real Madrid U19

1 - 2
FT
Dortmund U19 Logo

Dortmund U19

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
De Llanos H.
Assist: Mesa O.
16'
Diallo O.
17'
Sub
Mascaro J. In: Santiago A.
Out: Mascaro J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dortmund U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dortmund U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Real Madrid U19
20%
Draws
28%
Dortmund U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Madrid U19 lately — more wins on the board than Dortmund U19.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid U19 Dortmund U19
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 21 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.03 2.29
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.21 1.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:0
Oct 22, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
1:2
Dec 6, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:1
Sep 26, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs Real Madrid U19
5:3
Dec 7, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Llanos H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.7
Avg xA / game 1.1

Dortmund U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Etcibasi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.69
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid U19 29 / 100
Dortmund U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid U19 Dortmund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid U19's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Dortmund U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid U19 VS Dortmund U19
1.8 Goals Scored 3.13
0.6 Goals Conceded 2.63
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid U19

(Home)
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
25 Feb
Real Madrid U19
1 : 0
Chelsea U19
Page 1 of 6

Dortmund U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter U19 6 6 0 0 19:7 18
2 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 13:3 16
3 Salzburg U19 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
4 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 17:10 15
5 VfB Stuttgart U19 6 4 1 1 13:6 13
6 Real Madrid U19 6 4 0 2 10:5 12
7 Atalanta U19 6 4 0 2 14:12 12
8 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 16:8 11
9 Benfica U19 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
10 Juventus U19 6 3 2 1 9:4 11
11 Manchester City U19 6 3 1 2 16:8 10
12 Girona U19 6 2 4 0 9:5 10
13 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 11:12 10
14 Shakhtar U19 6 3 1 2 9:11 10
15 Aston Villa U19 6 3 0 3 14:11 9
16 Sturm Graz U19 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
17 Celtic U19 6 3 0 3 10:10 9
18 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:8 8
19 Liverpool U19 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
20 Lille U19 6 1 5 0 8:7 8
21 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
22 Monaco U19 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
23 PSG U19 6 2 1 3 14:13 7
24 Leverkusen U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
25 PSV U19 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
26 Arsenal U19 6 2 0 4 5:12 6
27 AC Milan U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
28 Crvena zvezda U19 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
29 Feyenoord U19 6 1 1 4 7:14 4
30 Young Boys U19 6 1 0 5 11:17 3
31 Club Brugge U19 6 0 3 3 5:11 3
32 RB Leipzig U19 6 1 0 5 10:18 3
33 Bologna U19 6 0 2 4 7:14 2
34 Brest U19 6 0 2 4 5:16 2
35 Slovan Bratislava U19 6 0 2 4 6:20 2
36 Sparta Prague U19 6 0 1 5 4:15 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 (Play Offs)