Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2024/2025 Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium, Madrid
Real Madrid U19 Logo

Real Madrid U19

2 - 0
FT
Dortmund U19 Logo

Dortmund U19

Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Aguado D.
44' Event
De Llanos H.
Assist: Fortea J.
47'
Rivas M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Real Madrid U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Real Madrid U19
20%
Draws
28%
Dortmund U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Madrid U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Madrid U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Real Madrid U19's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Real Madrid U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Dortmund U19, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 54%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Real Madrid U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Dortmund U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid U19 Dortmund U19
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 22 20
Draws 2 6
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.07 2.18
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 2.51 1.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2025 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:0
Oct 22, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
1:2
Dec 6, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
2:1
Sep 26, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Dortmund U19 vs Real Madrid U19
5:3
Dec 7, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Real Madrid U19 vs Dortmund U19
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer De Llanos H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.93
Avg xA / game 1.25

Dortmund U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid U19 47 / 100
Dortmund U19 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid U19 Dortmund U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid U19 scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Real Madrid U19 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Dortmund U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 38 matches.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid U19 VS Dortmund U19
2.4 Goals Scored 3.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
20% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 1
S. Wanderers U20
08 Sept
Real Madrid U19
3 : 0
Inter U19
20 Apr
Club Brugge U19
1 : 2
Real Madrid U19
17 Apr
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
PSG U19
18 Mar
Real Madrid U19
2 : 1
Sporting CP U19
Page 1 of 6

Dortmund U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Dusseldorf U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
08 Sept
Dortmund U19
2 : 3
Villarreal U19
05 Sept
Dortmund U19
5 : 1
RW Essen U19
26 Aug
Duisburg U19
1 : 1
Dortmund U19
23 Aug
VfL Osnabruck U19
0 : 2
Dortmund U19
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Celtic U19 1
Rapid Vienna U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Girona U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Juventus U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 3
Atalanta U19 4
Betis U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 3
Lille U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2
Dortmund U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 3
Benfica U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 5
Shakhtar U19 1
Midtjylland U19 2
Manchester City U19 3
Sporting CP U19 4
Monaco U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Liverpool U19 2
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Aston Villa U19 2
Barcelona U19 3
Din. Zagreb U19 2
1/8-finals
Salzburg U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 1
Sturm Graz U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 2
Trabzonspor U19 1
Atalanta U19 0
Bayern U19 1
Inter U19 2
Real Madrid U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Hoffenheim U19 1
Manchester City U19 2
Sporting CP U19 2
VfB Stuttgart U19 3
Aston Villa U19 1
Barcelona U19 3
Quarter-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 0
Trabzonspor U19 1
Inter U19 0
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Manchester City U19 0
VfB Stuttgart U19 1
Barcelona U19 2
Semi-finals
Salzburg U19 1
Trabzonspor U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 0
Barcelona U19 1
Final
Trabzonspor U19 1
Barcelona U19 4