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Real Madrid U21 vs Dortmund II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 Adams Park, High Wycombe
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Etcibasi T.
Assist: Duarte E.

AI Match Summary

Dortmund II in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Real Madrid U21
30%
Draws
37%
Dortmund II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dortmund II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Real Madrid U21 haven't matched Dortmund II's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Real Madrid U21 taking it.
  • Dortmund II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dortmund II, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Real Madrid U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Dortmund II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid U21 Dortmund II
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 4 18
Draws 2 6
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 1.57 1.83
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Real Madrid U21 vs Dortmund II
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Dortmund II Compare

Top Goalscorer Etcibasi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid U21 42 / 100
Dortmund II 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid U21 Dortmund II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Madrid U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Dortmund II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Real Madrid U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid U21 VS Dortmund II
0 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid U21

(Home)
12 May
Real Madrid U21
0 : 1
Dortmund II
28 Apr
Dinamo Zagreb 2
1 : 2
Real Madrid U21
07 Apr
Manchester United U21
2 : 4
Real Madrid U21
16 Dec
Manchester City U21
1 : 1
Real Madrid U21
03 Dec
Everton U21
0 : 2
Real Madrid U21
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Dortmund II

(Away)
26 Sept
Dortmund II
4 : 2
Bocholt
21 Sept
Paderborn II
1 : 1
Dortmund II
16 Sept
Dortmund II
2 : 1
Westfalia Rhynern
13 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 2
Rodinghausen
05 Sept
B. Monchengladbach II
0 : 0
Dortmund II
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dinamo Zagreb 2 4
Valencia B 3
Manchester United U21 2
Real Madrid U21 4
Crystal Palace U21 0
Real Sociedad B 3
Everton U21 0
Dortmund II 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo Zagreb 2 1
Real Madrid U21 2
Real Sociedad B 0
Dortmund II 2
Final
Real Madrid U21 0
Dortmund II 1