Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Real Madrid vs Fiorentina

World World

Club Friendly Sportpark Klagenfurt Kunstrasen, Klagenfurt
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Endrick
Assist: Carreras A.
24' Event
Ciria A.
Assist: Camavinga E.
41' Event
Piccoli R.
Assist: Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Real Madrid and Fiorentina finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Real Madrid
15%
Draws
37%
Fiorentina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Madrid

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of Fiorentina on wins alone.
  • Real Madrid are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 20%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madrid Fiorentina
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 3 10
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.21 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Real Madrid vs Fiorentina
2:2
Aug 23, 2017 Club Friendly
Real Madrid vs Fiorentina
2:1
Aug 16, 2014 Club Friendly
Fiorentina vs Real Madrid
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madrid Compare

Top Goalscorer Endrick
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciria A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Fiorentina Compare

Top Goalscorer Piccoli R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kean M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madrid 40 / 100
Fiorentina 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madrid Fiorentina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Madrid Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Real Madrid scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.33 goals.

Fiorentina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Real Madrid has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Real Madrid VS Fiorentina
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madrid

(Home)
20 Sept
Atl. Madrid
2 : 1
Real Madrid
15 Sept
Elche
2 : 3
Real Madrid
12 Sept
Real Madrid
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano
08 Sept
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Inter
04 Sept
Betis
1 : 0
Real Madrid
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Fiorentina

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
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