Sport Picks
Real Madrid vs Girona
Spain
LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid 
Match Events
35'
35'
Mbappe K.
51'
51'
Valverde F.
Assist: Diaz B.
62'
62'
Lemar T.
Assist: Martinez A.
AI Match Summary
The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Real Madrid and Girona finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Madrid
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Real Madrid come out ahead of Girona on wins alone.
- Model gives Real Madrid a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Real Madrid Clean Sheet 20%
Girona Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Real Madrid | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 19 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 10, 2026 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Girona
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 LaLiga
Girona vs Real Madrid
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Girona
2:0
Dec 7, 2024 LaLiga
Girona vs Real Madrid
0:3
Feb 10, 2024 LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Girona
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Real Madrid Compare
Top Goalscorer Valverde F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Girona Compare
Top Goalscorer Lemar T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Real Madrid 85 / 100
Girona 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Real Madrid Girona
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RMA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Real Madrid scored in 93% of their last 28 games.
Girona let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Real Madrid has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Real Madrid VS Girona
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Real Madrid
(Home) 28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Leganes
23 May
Real Madrid
4 : 2 Ath Bilbao
17 May
Sevilla
0 : 1 Real Madrid
14 May
Real Madrid
2 : 0 Real Oviedo
10 May
Barcelona
2 : 0 Real Madrid
Page 1 of 6
28 Jul
Real Madrid
4 : 1 Leganes
23 May
Real Madrid
4 : 2 Ath Bilbao
14 May
Real Madrid
2 : 0 Real Oviedo
21 Apr
Real Madrid
2 : 1 Alaves
10 Apr
Real Madrid
1 : 1 Girona
Page 1 of 3
Girona
(Away) 29 Jul
Girona
3 : 3 Castellon
25 Jul
Girona
0 : 1 Alaves
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3 Girona
23 May
Girona
1 : 1 Elche
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0 Girona
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Olot
1 : 3 Girona
17 May
Atl. Madrid
1 : 0 Girona
11 May
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 1 Girona
25 Apr
Valencia
2 : 1 Girona
10 Apr
Real Madrid
1 : 1 Girona
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 1 | 6 | 95:36 | 94 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 77:35 | 86 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 72:46 | 72 |
| 4 | Atl. Madrid | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 62:44 | 69 |
| 5 | Betis | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 59:48 | 60 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53:48 | 54 |
| 7 | Getafe | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 32:38 | 51 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 41:44 | 50 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 59:61 | 46 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 43:55 | 46 |
| 12 | Ath Bilbao | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 43:58 | 45 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 46:60 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 44:56 | 43 |
| 15 | Elche | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 49:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Levante | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:61 | 42 |
| 17 | Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 44:50 | 42 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 47:57 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 26:60 | 29 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)
