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Real Madriz vs Diriangen

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Agurcia M.
40' Event
Coronel J.
65' Event
Moncada J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Real Madriz and Diriangen finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Diriangen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Real Madriz
20%
Draws
61%
Diriangen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Diriangen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Diriangen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Diriangen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Diriangen have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Real Madriz Clean Sheet 17%
Diriangen Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madriz Diriangen
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 5 24
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0.83 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Real Madriz
4:0
Feb 19, 2026 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Diriangen
0:1
Nov 6, 2025 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Diriangen
1:2
Sep 18, 2025 Liga Primera
Diriangen vs Real Madriz
7:0
Apr 14, 2022 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Diriangen
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Agurcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Diriangen Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronel J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moncada J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madriz 10 / 100
Diriangen 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madriz Diriangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Diriangen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Diriangen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 38 matches.

Real Madriz scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Real Madriz went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Diriangen
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Real Madriz

(Home)
25 Apr
Real Madriz
0 : 1
Rancho Santana
19 Apr
Diriangen
4 : 0
Real Madriz
16 Apr
Jalapa
2 : 0
Real Madriz
12 Apr
Real Madriz
1 : 0
UNAN-Managua
09 Apr
Sport Sebaco
2 : 2
Real Madriz
Page 1 of 6

Diriangen

(Away)
10 Sept
Sport Sebaco
0 : 1
Diriangen
07 Sept
Matagalpa
0 : 3
Diriangen
03 Sept
Managua FC
3 : 3
Diriangen
30 Aug
Diriangen
2 : 0
Jalapa
23 Aug
Esteli
0 : 2
Diriangen
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diriangen 18 10 6 2 48:15 36
2 Managua FC 18 11 3 4 33:14 36
3 Esteli 18 9 6 3 26:14 33
4 Sport Sebaco 18 9 3 6 30:29 30
5 Matagalpa 18 8 4 6 29:26 28
6 Walter Ferreti 18 7 5 6 31:26 26
7 Jalapa 18 7 3 8 33:33 24
8 Rancho Santana 18 5 2 11 17:47 17
9 UNAN-Managua 18 3 3 12 20:41 12
10 Real Madriz 18 3 1 14 16:38 10
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Apertura - Winners)
Promotion - Liga Primera 2025/2026 (Apertura - Winners)