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Real Madriz vs Rancho Santana

Nicaragua Nicaragua

Liga Primera 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Guarch T.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Primera 2025/2026 game between Real Madriz and Rancho Santana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rancho Santana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Real Madriz
28%
Draws
50%
Rancho Santana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rancho Santana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rancho Santana come out ahead of Real Madriz on wins alone.
  • Rancho Santana are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Liga Primera 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Real Madriz Clean Sheet 16%
Rancho Santana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Real Madriz Rancho Santana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Rancho Santana
0:1
Feb 24, 2026 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Real Madriz
3:3
Nov 17, 2025 Liga Primera
Rancho Santana vs Real Madriz
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga Primera
Real Madriz vs Rancho Santana
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Real Madriz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rancho Santana Compare

Top Goalscorer Guarch T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Real Madriz 23 / 100
Rancho Santana 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Real Madriz Rancho Santana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rancho Santana conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Rancho Santana's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Real Madriz's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Real Madriz VS Rancho Santana
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Diriangen18123340:1939
2Esteli18114341:1937
3Jalapa1896329:1633
4Managua FC1885522:1829
5Matagalpa1857630:2422
6Walter Ferreti1856718:2821
7Sport Sebaco18621023:2420
8UNAN-Managua18441021:3416
9Rancho Santana18441020:4316
10Real Madriz18431114:3315